fantastic55

Geopolitics 74% +$4,952 $17,268 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	68¢	76¢	+$1,114	win
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	67¢	74¢	+$8	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	68¢	94¢	+$489	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	53¢	67¢	+$14	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$302	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	30¢	0¢	$-191	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	31¢	46¢	+$154	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	30¢	47¢	+$87	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	46¢	93¢	+$653	win

Tech 67% +$424 $671 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	No	53¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$81	win
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?	No	84¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?	No	30¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 11?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$368	win

Finance 100% +$124 $137 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$124	win

Culture 67% $-92 $419 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$131	win
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	57¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	32¢	0¢	$-262	loss

Politics 30% $-612 $957 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	29¢	61¢	+$38	win
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?	No	74¢	100¢	+$39	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-393	loss
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-87	loss
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?	No	47¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?	No	61¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Sports 33% $-686 $715 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	23¢	0¢	$-250	loss
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-441	loss

Other 45% $-4,498 $18,040 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	61¢	62¢	+$31	win
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	66¢	96¢	+$67	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$324	win
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-738	loss
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?	No	41¢	0¢	$-146	loss
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-328	loss
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-3,717	loss
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-43	loss