sports1

Crypto 74% +$944 $3,091 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	7¢	12¢	+$22	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	14¢	49¢	+$191	win
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?	No	71¢	0¢	$-36	loss
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	39¢	100¢	+$324	win
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
US national XRP reserve in 2025?	No	56¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	55¢	100¢	+$47	win
US national Solana reserve in 2025?	No	76¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will XRP reach $3.60 in August?	No	43¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?	No	82¢	100¢	+$14	win

Elections 56% +$439 $3,615 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17¢	17¢	+$10	win
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	18¢	12¢	$-55	loss
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	26¢	16¢	$-46	loss
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	45¢	44¢	$-0	loss
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-219	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	25¢	0¢	$-192	loss
Will Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Other 48% +$405 $4,533 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	14¢	48¢	+$-0	—
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	84¢	100¢	+$7	win
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	57¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	No	2¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-38	loss
New Pope in 2025?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$355	win
Selena Gomez married in 2025?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$142	win
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?	No	53¢	100¢	+$56	win

Weather 100% +$47 $73 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$9	win
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?	No	46¢	100¢	+$38	win

Culture 50% $-43 $87 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?	No	41¢	0¢	$-63	loss

Finance 50% $-53 $93 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?	No	57¢	0¢	$-57	loss
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win

Tech 50% $-173 $443 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	64¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-211	loss
Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?	No	72¢	100¢	+$14	win

Economy 0% $-175 $175 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?	No	29¢	0¢	$-83	loss
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	No	31¢	0¢	$-34	loss

Sports 54% $-275 $3,525 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)	Strickland	30¢	100¢	+$145	win
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jacobe Smith	75¢	100¢	+$25	win
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)	Geoff Neal	66¢	0¢	$-66	loss
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ige	34¢	0¢	$-34	loss
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)	Reese	39¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Patriots vs. Broncos	Patriots	67¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$33	win
Texans vs. Patriots	Texans	39¢	0¢	$-120	loss
49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	27¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Bills vs. Broncos	Bills	48¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Politics 49% $-329 $5,739 vol · 71 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	27¢	+$8	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	Yes	27¢	16¢	$-8	loss
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?	No	71¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025?	No	74¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Geopolitics 43% $-1,402 $2,898 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	48¢	30¢	$-4	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$67	win
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	69¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?	No	47¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-437	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-659	loss
US military action against Iran before August?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$18	win
Israel military action against Iran in July?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-91	loss