Win rate
80.0%
8 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$1,157
realized $-851 · unrealized $2,008
Portfolio
$2,008
volume $8,401
Predictions
9
0.3/day · avg $933
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 83% +$1,035
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$276 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 36¢ | 57¢ | +$323 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 67¢ | +$443 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 25¢ | 40¢ | +$7 | win |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$9 | win |
Politics 100% +$101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 0% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 32¢ | 24¢ | $-49 | loss |
Recent Trades (10)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 14¢ | $-24 | $204 | 14/03/2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 47.9¢ | 50¢ | +$9 | $184 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | No | 43.0¢ | 42¢ | +$50 | $444 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 25.0¢ | 40¢ | +$7 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | No | 28.4¢ | 42¢ | +$51 | $275 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 31.6¢ | 24¢ | $-49 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 35.6¢ | 57¢ | +$323 | $540 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.8¢ | 67¢ | +$443 | $450 | 31/12/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$276 | $299 | 31/12/2026 |