Win rate
66.3%
500 W / 254 L
Total PnL
$13,765
realized $-1,938 · unrealized $15,703
Portfolio
$15,703
volume $814,914
Predictions
874
9.3/day · avg $932
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 66% +$18,599
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$126 | win |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Lakers | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$6 | win |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | win |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
Weather 100% +$1,529
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1,459 | win |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$1,100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 66¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-183 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 38¢ | 8¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 74% +$160
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3) | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will "Crazy, Stupid, Love" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3) | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | loss |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Finance 100% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| ATX Open: Anna Bondar vs Kamilla Rakhimova | Rakhimova | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Elections 80% $-182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 24¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 92¢ | 77¢ | $-249 | loss |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 71% $-701
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 89¢ | 40¢ | $-255 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" in March? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Crypto 54% $-891
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Up | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 69% $-1,220
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-277 | loss |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Gentle Mates | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | FUT Esports | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | win |
| Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs | R2 Esports Club | 49¢ | 50¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Supernova vs EC BANGA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B | Supernova | 72¢ | 50¢ | $-134 | loss |
| Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | FURIA Esports | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Fnatic | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-834 | loss |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winner | Gentle Mates | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Team Vitality | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | loss |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports - Map 4 Winner | Gentle Mates | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 61% $-3,073
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$146 | win |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next YouTube video? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmane | Terence Atmane | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-542 | loss |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchet | Hailey Baptiste | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$548 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $3,239 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $135 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2,214 | $7,837 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Nuggets | 53.6¢ | 100¢ | +$566 | $663 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Hawks | 57.0¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,874 | $1,879 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 44.6¢ | 0¢ | $-414 | $806 | 17/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5) | Minaur | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 65.3¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $1,349 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-277 | $279 | 16/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 | Under | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $674 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 | Over | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $68 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | Under | 37.1¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $204 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5 | Over | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $108 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 66.8¢ | 100¢ | +$929 | $3,313 | 14/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Under | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $80 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Hornets | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-213 | $250 | 14/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $250 | 13/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 57.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2,399 | $3,168 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $882 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $332 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | Manchester City FC | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $798 | 12/04/2026 |
| SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5 | Under | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,050 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-560 | $560 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $2,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Knicks | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $-192 | $193 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 99¢ | +$22 | $198 | 12/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Timberwolves | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | $949 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner | Gentle Mates | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $581 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Gentle Mates | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $451 | 11/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $942 | 11/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Kings | 65.3¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $475 | 11/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Thunder | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner | Gentle Mates | 45.4¢ | 0¢ | $-164 | $166 | 11/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Knicks | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,874 | $4,850 | 10/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$648 | $4,300 | 10/04/2026 |
| Partizan vs. Zalgiris Kaunas | Zalgiris Kaunas | 70.7¢ | 100¢ | +$336 | $839 | 10/04/2026 |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe | Frances Tiafoe | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $150 | 10/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | $248 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) | Warriors | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,067 | $1,069 | 10/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Knicks | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$774 | $3,332 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$572 | $1,927 | 09/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 71.8¢ | 100¢ | +$321 | $905 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | Thunder | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | $168 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Knicks | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $97 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $1,210 | 09/04/2026 |
| Fenerbahce vs. Real Madrid | Fenerbahce | 42.4¢ | 0¢ | $-211 | $212 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $108 | 09/04/2026 |