Win rate
41.7%
138 W / 193 L
Total PnL
$219
realized $-1,546 · unrealized $1,764
Portfolio
$1,764
volume $234,811
Predictions
418
1.8/day · avg $562
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Culture 67% +$1,052
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | No | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$1,195 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-246 | loss |
Politics 67% +$798
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12¢ | 4¢ | $-484 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | +$309 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 7¢ | 99¢ | +$444 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in US? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$431 | win |
Crypto 100% +$191
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
Tech 75% +$104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
Geopolitics 67% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 6¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score | No | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Iran strike on Israel before December? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Weather 0% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Other 39% $-157
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$359 | win |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 48¢ | 84¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | No | 47¢ | 48¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | $-15 | loss |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | win |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? | Yes | 60¢ | 80¢ | +$120 | win |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | No | 86¢ | 12¢ | $-25 | loss |
Sports 50% $-289
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-298 | loss |
| World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | Gukesh | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Elections 33% $-1,731
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 59¢ | 40¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will MDG win the fourth most seats in the Norway election? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Christian Democratic Party (KrF) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Liberal Party (V) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Bitcoin all time high day after election? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 65.0¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | $65 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 44¢ | $-0 | $44 | 18/04/2026 |
| Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score | No | 34.0¢ | 34¢ | $-0 | $34 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 32¢ | $-0 | $32 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 28¢ | $-0 | $29 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $128 | 11/04/2026 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 10/04/2026 |
| Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $159 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $48 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $113 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $48 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 0¢ | $-279 | $279 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 17.1¢ | 100¢ | +$331 | $68 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$210 | $90 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $29 | 21/03/2026 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20? | Yes | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $94 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 18/03/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 56.4¢ | 0¢ | $-282 | $282 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $-510 | $510 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | +$249 | $51 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $32 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 17/03/2026 |
| Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $54 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16? | Yes | 16.3¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $40 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/03/2026 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | $50 | 14/03/2026 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score | No | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/03/2026 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 14/03/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 14/03/2026 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/03/2026 |
| Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 45.5¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | $159 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | $25 | 12/03/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 12/03/2026 |