DonMegalodon

Geopolitics 70% +$5,005 $106,505 vol · 77 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$342	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	57¢	70¢	+$184	win
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	87¢	88¢	+$16	win
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11¢	10¢	$-12	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	63¢	68¢	$-154	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	35¢	30¢	+$279	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	40¢	32¢	$-96	loss
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$516	win
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	37¢	0¢	$-1,994	loss
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	36¢	0¢	+$2	win

Other 57% +$4,787 $39,092 vol · 238 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	37¢	75¢	+$106	win
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	50¢	79¢	+$24	win
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	43¢	32¢	$-27	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	73¢	70¢	$-113	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	23¢	26¢	+$113	win
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	26¢	21¢	$-17	loss
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	72¢	60¢	$-45	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	No	59¢	100¢	+$1,909	win
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	Yes	40¢	0¢	+$105	win
Will Starmer say "Tory" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	23¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Politics 50% +$2,443 $48,506 vol · 761 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	58¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will Trump say "Peace" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?	No	39¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Trump say "War" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Trump say "Dairy" during National Agriculture Day events?	No	28¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during National Agriculture Day events?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?	No	50¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Trump say "Angel" during Women's History Month event?	No	58¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" or "Midnight Hammer" during Women's History Month event?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" during Kentucky visit?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$50	win

Elections 47% +$1,757 $13,894 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?	No	73¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?	No	63¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 6%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-472	loss

Esports 63% +$1,599 $2,088 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	50¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?	No	66¢	100¢	$-14	loss
LoL: Dplus KIA vs GAM Esports (BO3)	Dplus KIA	70¢	100¢	+$64	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs K27 (BO3)	Aurora Young Blood	69¢	100¢	+$68	win
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 Winner	ShindeN	70¢	100¢	+$63	win
LoL: Los Heretics vs Barça eSports (BO3)	Los Heretics	60¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner	SPARTA	10¢	100¢	+$1,350	win
LoL: Entropiq vs Zena Esports (BO3)	Entropiq	65¢	100¢	+$30	win
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)	Aurora Gaming	63¢	100¢	+$5	win

Finance 58% +$454 $4,945 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 9?	Up	70¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?	No	38¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Dell say "Dell Pro Max" during earnings call?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Walmart say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?	No	67¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Walmart say "Brick and Mortar" during earnings call?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	71¢	100¢	+$17	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	65¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Uber say "Regulator / Regulation" during earnings call?	No	43¢	100¢	+$7	win
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on November 4?	Down	85¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Uber say "Regulator / Regulation" during earnings call?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-6	loss

Economy 67% +$30 $89 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bryan Johnson say "Snake Oil" while tripping balls?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Powell say "Recession" or "Depression" during speech on October 14?	No	51¢	100¢	+$34	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$19	win

Crypto 50% +$6 $2,018 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Melania say "Community" 3+ times during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	No	56¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?	Yes	24¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?	No	85¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?	No	75¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Bernie say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during CNN town hall on October 15?	No	85¢	100¢	+$12	win

Mentions 100% +$0 $75 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	83¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 0% $-47 $101 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sam Altman say "Creativity" or "Artist" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?	Yes	58¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?	No	86¢	100¢	$-11	loss

Weather 27% $-136 $782 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: StormMedia Fajnie Mieć Skład vs The Otter Side (BO1)	The Otter Side	26¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 26?	No	62¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?	No	54¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on September 25?	No	51¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on September 25?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 24?	No	44¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 23?	No	76¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 23?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on September 22?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on September 20?	No	85¢	100¢	$-14	loss

Tech 53% $-207 $1,923 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?	No	21¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	73¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his victory/concession speech?	No	82¢	100¢	$-36	loss
Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$48	win
Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	40¢	100¢	+$170	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 17?	Up	50¢	100¢	+$43	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 17?	Down	26¢	0¢	$-387	loss

Sports 38% $-227 $5,524 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$202	win
Will "Peace" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Will "Football" be said 20+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?	No	19¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Salikhov vs. Medic	Medic	51¢	100¢	+$20	win
Duncan vs. Tulio	Duncan	41¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Emmers vs. Amil	Emmers	46¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	60¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Radtke vs. Frunza	Radtke	51¢	100¢	+$10	win
Rowe vs. Ko	Rowe	35¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$54	win