0xd6d5...f2c6

Mentions 100% +$2 $33 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$2	win

Culture 50% +$0 $56 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Economy 29% $-2 $426 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	94¢	92¢	+$0	win

Tech 0% $-4 $186 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	92¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	39¢	30¢	$-2	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	90¢	88¢	$-0	loss

Finance 0% $-8 $747 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	91¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	93¢	95¢	$-2	loss
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	98¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	97¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	92¢	91¢	$-1	loss
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	92¢	88¢	$-0	loss

Esports 80% $-9 $163 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5	Under	85¢	100¢	+$4	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	FURIA	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	Legacy	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	Liquid	50¢	100¢	+$11	win
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	M80	34¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Geopolitics 69% $-14 $782 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	20¢	24¢	$-10	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	57¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	51¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	87¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?	Yes	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	No	87¢	100¢	+$5	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 11% $-20 $1,226 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	95¢	93¢	$-3	loss
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	Yes	83¢	88¢	+$3	win
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	94¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	Yes	88¢	88¢	$-0	loss
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	96¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	97¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	94¢	90¢	$-2	loss

Crypto 79% $-41 $2,912 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 18?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 8?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 7?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 6?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Weather 67% $-49 $115 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 2?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 25?	No	85¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 7°C on March 10?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-53	loss

Elections 35% $-87 $2,042 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	72¢	74¢	+$1	win
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	70¢	72¢	+$1	win
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	35¢	29¢	$-24	loss
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	94¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	90¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	91¢	91¢	$-0	loss
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	89¢	88¢	$-0	loss
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	89¢	89¢	+$0	win

Sports 69% $-120 $1,663 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	95¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	98¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	53¢	100¢	+$73	win
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	61¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Detroit Tigers	56¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Athletics vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	66¢	0¢	$-172	loss
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	54¢	100¢	+$53	win
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox	Baltimore Orioles	59¢	100¢	+$26	win

Other 30% $-146 $3,159 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	94¢	82¢	$-2	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	49¢	64¢	+$3	win
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	98¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	98¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	89¢	88¢	$-0	loss
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	99¢	98¢	$-1	loss