wenhai1058

Crypto 87% +$387 $22,477 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	64¢	64¢	$-38	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	82¢	86¢	+$1	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	95¢	94¢	$-2	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Solana reach $85 on April 8?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	No	99¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 68% +$286 $84,545 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27¢	27¢	$-63	loss
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-6	loss
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	40¢	39¢	$-17	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	76¢	100¢	+$210	win
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	10¢	8¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	92¢	92¢	+$5	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$0	win

Tech 86% +$213 $707 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$191	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss

Economy 86% +$96 $29,342 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	87¢	92¢	+$5	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$19	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$88	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
US recession in 2025?	No	79¢	100¢	+$2	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$40	win

Mentions 55% +$58 $3,502 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$115	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	33¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Culture 92% +$17 $1,042 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 56% $-164 $645 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	Gen.G	71¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	NRG	92¢	100¢	+$13	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A	BNK FEARX	79¢	0¢	$-36	loss
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A	Bilibili Gaming	83¢	100¢	+$6	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A	G2 Esports	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	Tundra Esports	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Weibo Gaming	61¢	100¢	+$16	win

Finance 70% $-241 $792 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?	No	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	58¢	0¢	$-179	loss
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	No	86¢	80¢	$-1	loss

Elections 64% $-286 $59,902 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17¢	17¢	$-1	loss
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	42¢	40¢	$-2	loss
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	60¢	60¢	+$0	win
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	65¢	64¢	+$41	win
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	87¢	84¢	$-4	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	86¢	84¢	+$35	win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	71¢	66¢	+$17	win
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	78¢	75¢	$-2	loss

Geopolitics 80% $-297 $199,516 vol · 201 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	86¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	82¢	0¢	$-90	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	30¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$18	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	5¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	$-65	loss

Sports 62% $-626 $9,761 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	15¢	17¢	+$1	win
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	96¢	96¢	+$0	win
UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Chris Padilla	74¢	50¢	$-29	loss
76ers vs. Rockets	Rockets	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Mavericks vs. Suns	Suns	92¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will High Point advance to the Final Four?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Timberwolves vs. 76ers	Timberwolves	39¢	0¢	$-7	loss

Other 76% $-1,608 $108,733 vol · 211 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	74¢	72¢	$-2	loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	60¢	60¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	75¢	100¢	+$6	win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	78¢	81¢	$-5	loss
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	65¢	57¢	$-1	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$46	win