Win rate
55.1%
1170 W / 954 L
Total PnL
$30,500
realized $-16,415 · unrealized $46,915
Portfolio
$46,915
volume $1,449,745
Predictions
2,132
8.7/day · avg $680
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 54% +$18,520
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 61¢ | 56¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | loss |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 64¢ | 54¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 38¢ | 99¢ | +$825 | win |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 21¢ | 21¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 16¢ | 2¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 38¢ | 70¢ | $-42 | loss |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Wolves | 22¢ | 20¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5 | Under | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 54% +$9,721
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 78¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 62¢ | 65¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | No | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | No | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$397 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-501 | loss |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 20¢ | 34¢ | +$114 | win |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$3 | win |
| LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Sentinels | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$324 | win |
Crypto 56% +$9,222
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | No | 42¢ | 64¢ | +$212 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Up | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
| LoL: Diversion Gaming vs Ethereal Enigmas - Game 1 Winner | Diversion Gaming | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$705 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-597 | loss |
| USDT depeg in 2025? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Geopolitics 71% +$6,071
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 55¢ | 80¢ | +$1,814 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$291 | win |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | 64¢ | 96¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$469 | win |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | No | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$40 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | 65¢ | 85¢ | +$60 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | 32¢ | 50¢ | +$102 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
Economy 100% +$144
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July? | No | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
Politics 69% +$139
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | +$113 | win |
| Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Biden seen in public before June? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Weather 50% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 11? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on February 8? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Finance 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Tech 50% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-179 | loss |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will Google have the top AI model on February 28? | No | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
Elections 50% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin hits $80k before election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Esports 59% $-13,002
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 54¢ | 43¢ | $-169 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SK Gaming | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Disguised | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | Fnatic | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | win |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | FURIA Esports | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
| LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner | LOS | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-229 | loss |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-440 | loss |
| LoL: Aeterna Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | Aeterna Esports | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | loss |
| LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | RMD Gaming | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 52¢ | $-1 | $80 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Sentinels | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $39 | 19/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,377 | $3,723 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 68.0¢ | 78¢ | +$83 | $544 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$324 | $402 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $45 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 40.5¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | $138 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SK Gaming | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Natus Vincere | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $43 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 18.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,309 | $1,341 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Dorado Gaming | 27.8¢ | 100¢ | +$303 | $117 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Clippers | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Disguised | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Skillcamp Esport | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | Clippers | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | $254 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $-954 | $954 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner | Fluxo W7M | 38.3¢ | 100¢ | +$427 | $265 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | Vivo Keyd Stars | 31.1¢ | 100¢ | +$386 | $174 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season | Orbit Anonymo | 52.1¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $170 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $106 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner | LOUD | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $75 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | LOUD | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 | Under | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 43.3¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 59.4¢ | 81¢ | +$135 | $370 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $128 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$413 | $287 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | Yes | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $264 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $325 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $122 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season? | No | 35.7¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $107 | 12/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | $138 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $-211 | $211 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $-371 | $468 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $-379 | $379 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $-926 | $926 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-639 | $639 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Bucks | Bucks | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $160 | 11/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 11/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 39.3¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 11/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Warriors | 56.4¢ | 0¢ | $-805 | $805 | 11/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Pistons | 34.8¢ | 100¢ | +$717 | $383 | 10/04/2026 |
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda | KK Crvena Zvezda | 68.3¢ | 100¢ | +$285 | $615 | 10/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$269 | $831 | 10/04/2026 |