Playpool

Geopolitics 74% +$473 $28,385 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	49¢	0¢	$-31	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	58¢	80¢	+$20	win
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	28¢	0¢	$-261	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$27	win
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	93¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	96¢	97¢	+$0	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	18¢	0¢	$-31	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	85¢	0¢	$-20	loss
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	80¢	100¢	+$70	win

Economy 86% +$19 $1,046 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	85¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	No	88¢	100¢	+$7	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win

Weather 91% +$10 $1,432 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C or below on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 0% $-12 $85 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	94¢	75¢	$-11	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-0	loss

Politics 67% $-21 $154 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	85¢	84¢	+$3	win
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Sports 75% $-47 $503 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Suns vs. Hornets	Hornets	85¢	100¢	+$2	win
Nets vs. Heat	Heat	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Nets vs. Heat	Heat	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Kings vs. Bulls	Bulls	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
76ers vs. Wizards	Wizards	89¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Celtics vs. Grizzlies	Celtics	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Blue Jays vs. Yankees	Blue Jays	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Nuggets vs. Clippers	Nuggets	41¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Tech 58% $-259 $5,168 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	68¢	28¢	$-8	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	65¢	26¢	$-237	loss
Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$153	win
Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	85¢	100¢	$-219	loss
Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$69	win

Other 88% $-276 $23,330 vol · 202 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	84¢	100¢	+$24	win
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	88¢	96¢	+$3	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	66¢	73¢	+$11	win
US bank failure by April 30?	No	85¢	93¢	+$2	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	61¢	63¢	$-2	loss
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 3.5	Under	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Crypto 79% $-410 $14,347 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?	No	98¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on October 20?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum all time high before October?	No	65¢	0¢	$-379	loss
Bitcoin above $108K on August 29?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$26	win
Bitcoin above $113.5K on August 26 at 8PM ET?	No	97¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 27?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin above $112.5K on August 26 at 4PM ET?	No	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin above $112.5K on August 25 at 8PM ET?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 84% $-462 $29,403 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	96¢	96¢	$-2	loss
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	95¢	96¢	+$8	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	$-78	loss
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win