Win rate
70.3%
1801 W / 761 L
Total PnL
$29,408
realized $27,093 · unrealized $2,315
Portfolio
$2,315
volume $6,402,789
Predictions
3,059
15.1/day · avg $2,093
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 68% +$20,304
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$1,150 | win |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$854 | win |
| UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Vicente Luque | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | Chris Padilla | 73¢ | 50¢ | $-20 | loss |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-1,354 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims) | Darrius Flowers | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims) | Azamat Bekoev | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$143 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | Virna Jandiroba | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) | Tommy McMillen | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Ethyn Ewing | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Politics 64% +$11,396
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will Trump attend UFC 324? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | No | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (October 13 - 19) | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
| Will Trump say "51st state" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Other 55% +$4,536
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 37¢ | 32¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | No | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Yes | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$60 | win |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Team Liquid | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Shifters | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
Elections 46% +$1,118
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$339 | win |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | win |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | loss |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$279 | win |
| Will North Carolina be the tipping point state? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
Esports 48% +$799
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Team WE | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs | GAM Esports | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-267 | loss |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner | LNG Esports | 83¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner | Team WE | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-323 | loss |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Top Esports | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | G2 Esports | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-171 | loss |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) | Hanwha Life Esports | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$1,219 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-256 | loss |
Tech 71% +$631
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12? | Down | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$450 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$347 | win |
| Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30? | No | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | loss |
Finance 57% +$534
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20? | Down | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$154 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13? | Down | 86¢ | 0¢ | +$101 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13? | Up | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-140 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12? | Up | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$207 | win |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 9¢ | 100¢ | +$318 | win |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
Economy 56% +$321
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$256 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$261 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Weather 100% +$58
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue Boilermakers | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
Culture 62% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | win |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 17% $-106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet between 100-109 times? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Geopolitics 66% $-4,855
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 45¢ | 70¢ | +$199 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$69 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-3,633 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Renato Moicano | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Chris Duncan | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Joe Pyfer | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Israel Adesanya | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-2,208 | loss |
Crypto 76% $-8,404
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23? | No | 60¢ | 52¢ | $-144 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-354 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $2,026 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $336 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $490 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $437 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | $560 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Up | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $1,051 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $582 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Up | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $476 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,150 | $868 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$854 | $1,710 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $1,855 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Vicente Luque | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $147 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? | No | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $55 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Team Liquid | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | Chris Padilla | 73.0¢ | 50¢ | $-20 | $365 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Shifters | 30.5¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $999 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-200 | $700 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-354 | $735 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,354 | $3,500 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $3,520 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $582 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Up | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $965 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $490 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $490 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $91 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $1,026 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Up | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $1,119 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 88.4¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $395 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Down | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $1,954 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Down | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $569 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10AM ET | Up | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $740 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $540 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $752 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $480 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $480 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Down | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $480 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Up | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $475 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Down | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $281 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $576 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $530 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $525 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $612 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $485 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11AM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $485 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $582 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $588 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $392 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $545 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $490 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $490 | 10/04/2026 |