Burgil

Elections 50% +$11,815 $20,877 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$3,287	win
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	67¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Other 100% +$2,097 $4,418 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	67¢	99¢	+$2,097	win

Geopolitics 33% $-102 $886 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	Yes	21¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-322	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-198	loss

Crypto 20% $-141 $244 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	62¢	100¢	+$25	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	52¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	31¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	94¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	58¢	0¢	$-42	loss

Economy 0% $-3,818 $6,645 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-12	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-2,981	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-76	loss