RewardsNinja

Culture 87% +$221 $8,407 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$8	win

Politics 69% +$110 $7,085 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	89¢	93¢	+$4	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	73¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	93¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	87¢	86¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	59¢	50¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$40	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win

Tech 75% +$59 $842 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	60¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	92¢	0¢	$-17	loss

Crypto 100% +$13 $385 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	93¢	97¢	+$13	win

Economy 100% +$13 $1,007 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win

Elections 100% +$5 $733 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	95¢	98¢	+$1	win

Sports 88% $-130 $2,865 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tyrell Fortune	85¢	100¢	+$28	win
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)	Yousri Belgaroui	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tofiq Musayev	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)	Lerone Murphy	74¢	0¢	$-353	loss
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	85¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$7	win
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Gillian Robertson	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)	Charles Oliveira	88¢	100¢	+$29	win
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	94¢	100¢	+$20	win

Other 71% $-1,606 $21,060 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$25	win
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	94¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	88¢	86¢	$-3	loss
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	96¢	99¢	+$1	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$129	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	72¢	62¢	$-58	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	75¢	70¢	$-11	loss

Geopolitics 82% $-2,669 $107,028 vol · 80 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	97¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$17	win
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	85¢	90¢	+$14	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	61¢	70¢	$-4	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	67¢	28¢	$-96	loss
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	90¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	80¢	91¢	+$7	win
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	93¢	95¢	+$8	win