Win rate
57.0%
2560 W / 1930 L
Total PnL
$3,320
realized $234 · unrealized $3,086
Portfolio
$3,086
volume $1,144,620
Predictions
5,440
23.1/day · avg $210
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 67% +$1,082
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$1,062 | win |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
Crypto 57% +$923
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$268 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | Up | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Up | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | Down | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Down | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | Up | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | Up | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 43¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 53% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 19? | Yes | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 18? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 18? | Yes | 13¢ | 20¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 18? | Yes | 14¢ | 13¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 18? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 18? | Yes | 27¢ | 31¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18? | No | 58¢ | 48¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 18? | No | 61¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 18? | No | 31¢ | 10¢ | $-17 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-153
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 50¢ | 22¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 17? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 17? | No | 63.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 59.0¢ | 41¢ | $-7 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $-209 | $214 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $980 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 57.2¢ | 59¢ | $-1 | $1,023 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $151 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 17? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 59.6¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $167 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | No | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17? | No | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 90.5¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 17? | Yes | 25.7¢ | 26¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 36.8¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 17? | Yes | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 17? | Yes | 28.9¢ | 30¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 65.0¢ | 68¢ | +$2 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 44.8¢ | 88¢ | +$27 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 17? | No | 55.3¢ | 46¢ | $-5 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 62.7¢ | 38¢ | $-15 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$349 | $2,087 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 17? | No | 65.0¢ | 1¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 17? | No | 54.8¢ | 80¢ | +$13 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 17? | No | 55.0¢ | 58¢ | +$1 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 17? | No | 56.0¢ | 99¢ | +$19 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | No | 64.3¢ | 1¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | 32.1¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 16? | No | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16? | No | 61.8¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16? | No | 64.5¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 16? | No | 61.4¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 16? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 16? | No | 63.2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 16? | Yes | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | 15.4¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $206 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 24.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 30.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 16? | Yes | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |