0xd496dEB60063e51e45fe6adDa381b77093Ab00Ec-1775456355341

Weather 100% +$147 $86 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	No	30¢	100¢	+$137	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17?	No	70¢	98¢	+$10	win

Crypto 40% +$9 $287 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	66¢	56¢	$-2	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?	No	70¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$9	win

Geopolitics 47% $-2 $1,054 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	36¢	22¢	$-2	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	68¢	78¢	+$1	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	64¢	76¢	+$2	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	86¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	34¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	94¢	97¢	+$1	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	39¢	62¢	$-8	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	57¢	6¢	$-22	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	26¢	9¢	$-12	loss

Elections 43% $-20 $391 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	32¢	7¢	$-3	loss
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	69¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	36¢	1¢	+$0	win
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	Yes	40¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	Yes	54¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	No	45¢	0¢	$-18	loss

Politics 0% $-24 $226 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	20¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	67¢	40¢	$-13	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-4	loss

Other 50% $-38 $285 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	22¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	57¢	64¢	+$1	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	59¢	81¢	$-2	loss
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	32¢	40¢	+$5	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	79¢	52¢	$-12	loss
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur	Valentin Vacherot	58¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	16¢	1¢	$-23	loss

Sports 0% $-38 $83 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	15¢	15¢	$-1	loss
Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	29¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres	Blue Jackets	29¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Mentions 0% $-45 $113 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	24¢	100¢	$-45	loss