Win rate
80.1%
1434 W / 356 L
Total PnL
$-2,465
realized $-3,248 · unrealized $783
Portfolio
$783
volume $963,449
Predictions
1,889
5.3/day · avg $510
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 74% +$3,258
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 | Under | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 53¢ | 0¢ | +$76 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | Up | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Down | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Down | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
Tech 100% +$479
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 86% +$112
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5) | Páfos FC | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Penguins vs. Predators | Penguins | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Thunder | Thunder | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy | Chelsea | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will RB Salzburg win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Elections 100% +$71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 91¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| French election called by October 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
Weather 87% $-610
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | +$48 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Politics 89% $-851
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 39¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$32 | win |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 12? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$216 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 84% $-1,866
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 | Under | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-164 | loss |
| Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5) | FC Bayern München | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5 | Under | 63¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | win |
| FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score | No | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 15? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-968 | loss |
| Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 | Under | 66¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5 | Under | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Other 81% $-3,265
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 60¢ | 90¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | +$10 | win |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | win |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 72¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | No | 74¢ | 74¢ | +$4 | win |
| Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$19 | win |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$35 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 85.0¢ | 90¢ | +$19 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 78.1¢ | 90¢ | +$35 | $238 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 93.0¢ | 91¢ | $-4 | $186 | 17/04/2026 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5 | Under | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $148 | 16/04/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5 | Under | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $249 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 | Under | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $249 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5) | Tromsø IL | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $427 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5 | Under | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5 | Under | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $222 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $420 | 15/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhang | Anastasia Potapova | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) | Manchester United FC | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $103 | 13/04/2026 |
| Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5 | Under | 77.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $163 | 13/04/2026 |
| FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5 | Under | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-177 | $177 | 13/04/2026 |
| FK Akron Tolyatti vs. FK Dinamo Moskva: O/U 3.5 | Under | 68.7¢ | 0¢ | $-206 | $206 | 13/04/2026 |
| Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $224 | 12/04/2026 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 | Under | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $176 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) | Kocaelispor | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $93 | 12/04/2026 |
| Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 42.5¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $126 | 11/04/2026 |
| Aarhus GF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5 | Under | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $302 | 10/04/2026 |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5 | Under | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $252 | 10/04/2026 |
| Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $154 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-2.5) | Brisbane Roar FC | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $575 | 10/04/2026 |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $142 | 10/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score | No | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 10/04/2026 |
| Karlsruher SC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 4.5 | Under | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | $243 | 10/04/2026 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 4.5 | Under | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $166 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $178 | 09/04/2026 |
| Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 | Under | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $132 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | Club Atlético de Madrid | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $315 | 08/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | Under | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $242 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $123 | 07/04/2026 |
| Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 54.4¢ | 0¢ | $-241 | $241 | 07/04/2026 |
| Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $81 | 05/04/2026 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5 | Under | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $146 | 05/04/2026 |
| Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5 | Under | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $154 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $171 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5) | Eintracht Frankfurt | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $273 | 05/04/2026 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5 | Under | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $166 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $182 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5) | Fenerbahçe SK | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $200 | 05/04/2026 |
| Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $90 | 05/04/2026 |
| FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5 | Under | 60.1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $67 | 05/04/2026 |
| FC Andorra vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5 | Under | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 05/04/2026 |
| Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 | Under | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $160 | 05/04/2026 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-144 | $144 | 05/04/2026 |
| Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5 | Under | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $158 | 05/04/2026 |