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0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364
0xd35694160b7bc6f734ab2e95072686aceb1a963d · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
58.9%
43 W / 30 L
Total PnL
$748
realized $-875 · unrealized $1,622
Portfolio
$1,622
volume $436,605
Predictions
84
1.8/day · avg $5,198
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 62% +$525
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 16¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 24¢ | 22¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 30¢ | $-16 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 10¢ | $-12 | loss |
Sports 100% +$65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 44¢ | 46¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$55 | win |
Other 52% +$36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 24¢ | 14¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 40¢ | 40¢ | +$54 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 50¢ | 46¢ | +$139 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$37 | win |
Politics 40% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | +$14 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 43¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 16¢ | 22¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 43% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23¢ | 19¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 36¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 44¢ | 40¢ | $-8 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | $7,081 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 78.8¢ | 92¢ | +$63 | $4,449 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 83.2¢ | 99¢ | +$37 | $5,418 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $3,232 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 62.1¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $463 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 75.8¢ | 91¢ | +$80 | $16,366 | 07/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 19.2¢ | 100¢ | +$262 | $819 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $671 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $29 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026? | Yes | 49.3¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026? | Yes | 53.6¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $35 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026? | Yes | 46.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $21 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 60.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $60 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026? | Yes | 42.1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026? | Yes | 48.6¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026? | Yes | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026? | Yes | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Yes | 31.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $96 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $71 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $165 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22? | Yes | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $25 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 61.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $225 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 57.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $49 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting? | Yes | 38.4¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $88 | 13/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $1,080 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $59 | 31/01/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 22¢ | +$3 | $70 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $4,283 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 30.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 39.5¢ | 38¢ | +$16 | $865 | 22/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 50.3¢ | 46¢ | +$139 | $9,531 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 1¢ | +$2 | $138 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | $743 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 59.1¢ | 60¢ | $-28 | $2,048 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 39.9¢ | 40¢ | +$54 | $3,300 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 34¢ | +$2 | $180 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $40 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 28¢ | $-5 | $321 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 23¢ | +$55 | $1,098 | 30/06/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $1,060 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $76 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.6¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $906 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $1,308 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $75 | 30/06/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 10¢ | $-12 | $369 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 6¢ | $-244 | $1,864 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 15¢ | +$3 | $1,378 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 46¢ | +$7 | $723 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 48¢ | +$0 | $55 | 31/07/2026 |