Win rate
29.6%
8 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$-824
realized $-2,763 · unrealized $1,938
Portfolio
$1,938
volume $553,199
Predictions
2,111
59.6/day · avg $262
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$163
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$351 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 28¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 4¢ | $-120 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | loss |
Sports 14% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs | Los Angeles Angels | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) | Tommy McMillen | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Hawks | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Canucks vs. Wild | Wild | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Lakers | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks | Bucks | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 16¢ | $-30 | loss |
Esports 33% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | GamerLegion | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Other 20% $-119
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$6 | win |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | No | 37¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto | Rei Sakamoto | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Recent Trades (27)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs | Los Angeles Angels | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 07/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto | Rei Sakamoto | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 06/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) | Tommy McMillen | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 05/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Hawks | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 03/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Wild | Wild | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $22 | 03/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | GamerLegion | 69.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 01/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Lakers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks | Bucks | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | $220 | 31/03/2026 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 30/03/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 30/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$351 | $1,000 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $26 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 28.0¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | $20 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 4¢ | $-120 | $200 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52.0¢ | 52¢ | $-57 | $2,973 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52.9¢ | 52¢ | $-38 | $1,038 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | 53.7¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $193 | 31/12/2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 42¢ | +$6 | $200 | 31/12/2026 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.5¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | $50 | 31/12/2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 10¢ | $-8 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 16¢ | $-30 | $150 | 31/12/2026 |