Win rate
66.7%
184 W / 92 L
Total PnL
$-839
realized $-2,006 · unrealized $1,167
Portfolio
$1,167
volume $320,054
Predictions
296
6.6/day · avg $1,081
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 71% +$1,195
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 68¢ | 56¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Perle Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$110 | win |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.07? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Geopolitics 68% +$761
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 4¢ | +$4 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 62¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$12 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-284 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 63¢ | $-17 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | No | 15¢ | 41¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | 38¢ | 50¢ | +$221 | win |
Sports 62% +$572
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | India | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | New Zealand | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| T20 World Cup: England vs India | India | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | win |
| T20 World Cup: England vs India | England | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand | New Zealand | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africa | South Africa | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies | West Indies | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies | India | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan | Pakistan | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Elections 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 59¢ | 57¢ | $-7 | loss |
Politics 40% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 7¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 64¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
Tech 48% $-1,200
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-287 | loss |
| Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | loss |
| Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
Crypto 65% $-1,231
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 66¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 46¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-1,733 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 18¢ | 39¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Infinex launch a token in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $22 | 18/04/2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 48.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 68.6¢ | 86¢ | +$112 | $412 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $72 | 14/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings | Punjab Kings | 65.2¢ | 50¢ | $-12 | $212 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week? | Yes | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $77 | 13/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $433 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $45 | 12/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians | Delhi Capitals | 60.3¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $241 | 11/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $558 | 09/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Kolkata Knight Riders | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-306 | $701 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 58.7¢ | 86¢ | +$72 | $147 | 07/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings | Rajasthan Royals | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | +$363 | $1,102 | 06/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Mumbai Indians | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $227 | 05/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $86 | 04/04/2026 |
| Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $138 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | +$116 | $109 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $2M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $361 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $2.5M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $183 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | 37.8¢ | 50¢ | +$221 | $831 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | 71.1¢ | 50¢ | +$180 | $1,562 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | No | 71.3¢ | 100¢ | +$166 | $463 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? | No | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $589 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $127 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $474 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $1,939 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 81.5¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $244 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 83.4¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $262 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $131 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $291 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $185 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March? | No | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $270 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $121 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $276 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March? | Yes | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $82 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $229 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | Yes | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $238 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | No | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March? | Yes | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $93 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | No | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $287 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 31/03/2026 |