OraculumNobius

Geopolitics 94% +$13,980 $2,047,275 vol · 305 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	52¢	30¢	+$1,133	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	42¢	67¢	+$5	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	50¢	33¢	$-40	loss
Will Gentner Drummond replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 99% +$3,034 $1,995,870 vol · 1625 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
R2 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Yellow FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Nebula3 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Block Street FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
OneFootball FDV above $35M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 99% +$1,760 $626,100 vol · 619 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Microsoft dip to $375 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla dip to $390 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Apple dip to $248 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google reach $335 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Amazon reach $216 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Meta dip to $600 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 99% +$1,451 $393,342 vol · 114 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $24,000 (LOW) in December?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.7B and $1.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (HIGH) $615 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $595 Week of April 13 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will PNC (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 100% +$541 $238,257 vol · 508 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	89¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Al-Hazem win Saudi Professional League?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will OB win Denmark Superliga?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tondela win Primeira Liga?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Aston Martin have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ferrari achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 100% +$378 $166,761 vol · 122 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Kanye West release an album in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new song in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Anthony Gordon record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will North West release an album by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Death Stranding 2: On the Beach win the Artistic Achievement category at the 2026 BAFTA Games Awards?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be at least 140k?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Hades II win the Animation category at the 2026 BAFTA Games Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 99% +$347 $129,866 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	72¢	66¢	+$136	win
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	81¢	72¢	+$0	win
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Joe Hathaway win the NJ-11 special election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win

Mentions 97% +$231 $184,690 vol · 118 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Esports 100% +$21 $20,465 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5	Over	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?	Under	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Total Kills Over/Under 81.5 in Game 2?	Under	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2?	Under	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2?	Under	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner	RUSTEC	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	Under	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
StarCraft II: trigger vs Cure - Map 4 Winner	Cure	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs BESTIA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group B	BESTIA	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 100% +$6 $5,394 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will India’s Unemployment Rate decrease in February?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will India’s Unemployment Rate increase in February?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 99% $-245 $4,381,501 vol · 1571 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 7, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Politics 98% $-4,808 $719,123 vol · 386 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	89¢	92¢	+$2,122	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$118	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$10	win
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump visit Tennessee in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 7.00% and 7.50%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 99% $-5,408 $2,437,978 vol · 1820 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will USD/CAD hit 1.39 (High) in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Kenneth Walker III play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win