Win rate
93.7%
2116 W / 142 L
Total PnL
$5,405
realized $-242 · unrealized $5,647
Portfolio
$5,647
volume $1,283,107
Predictions
2,742
18.5/day · avg $468
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 94% +$1,488
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 40°F or higher on April 20? | Yes | 99¢ | 97¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 20? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 97¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C or below on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 28-29°F on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 28% +$157
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–84? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50-54? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
Sports 50% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "F1" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Politics 100% +$27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon out of Trump administration in 2025? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Tech 67% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $507 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $297 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $262 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on April 18? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $133 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 18? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $128 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $199 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on April 18? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $113 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $158 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $153 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $149 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $92 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $85 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $67 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $67 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $67 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 25°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 50°F or higher on April 18? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $377 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $447 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $301 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $272 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $163 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $163 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $149 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $130 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 98°F or higher on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 15? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $793 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $396 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $396 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on April 16? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $297 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $114 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,241 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 61°F or below on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $496 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $496 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $396 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $276 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 15/04/2026 |