Win rate
74.8%
113 W / 38 L
Total PnL
$131
realized $-520 · unrealized $650
Portfolio
$650
volume $83,129
Predictions
413
22.5/day · avg $201
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 71% +$127
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Up | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 83% $-109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 49¢ | 55¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 16? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 16? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 16? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or higher on April 10? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 9? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $409 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 48.6¢ | 55¢ | +$20 | $166 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 16? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 16? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 16? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 16? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $57 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or higher on April 10? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 9? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $39 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 9? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $40 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 9? | Yes | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $290 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $43 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $338 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 7? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $55 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 7? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 6? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $132 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 6? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 6? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $52 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 5? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $51 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 5? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $47 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 5? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $123 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 5? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 4? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 4? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 4? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 3? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 3? | Yes | 22.3¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $68 | 03/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 2? | Yes | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $217 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 2? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $245 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $68 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $49 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $54 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 1? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $162 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 1? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $184 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 1? | No | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $21 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 1? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $148 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $38 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on April 1? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |