Win rate
90.0%
1934 W / 215 L
Total PnL
$1,797
realized $1,258 · unrealized $539
Portfolio
$539
volume $3,550,089
Predictions
7,347
1399.9/day · avg $483
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 77% +$105
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? | No | 73¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 96% +$87
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 18? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 34-35°F on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 17? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? | No | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 40¢ | 41¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | 33¢ | 31¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Brett Lindstrom be the Republican nominee for NE-02? | Yes | — | 1¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 92% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | No | 55¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat? | No | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? | No | 77¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat? | No | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? | No | 87¢ | 87¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? | No | 26¢ | 23¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | No | 97¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will HC Kometa Brno win Czech Extraliga? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 98% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on April 16? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 15? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Something Very Bad is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Something Very Bad is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Something Very Bad is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Something Very Bad is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Black and Blue" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Temptation Island: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "IF" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Anaconda" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Bandi: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Beast" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6900–7000 on April 8? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at <6600 on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BC.Game Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026? | Yes | — | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 43% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in April 2026? | Yes | — | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Geopolitics 46% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? | Yes | — | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran ends before April 2026? | Yes | — | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 82% $-91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | No | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Coritiba win Brazil Série A? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 23¢ | 22¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 66¢ | 65¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | — | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $213 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | -1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $208 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $208 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $161 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $161 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $181 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $181 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | Yes | 0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $114 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $104 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $104 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $104 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $104 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $533 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $533 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $480 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $156 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $156 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $1,578 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $156 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C or below on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $2,584 | 17/04/2026 |