zualiskerpi

Politics 75% +$22 $121 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	45¢	58¢	+$15	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	56¢	76¢	+$10	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	No	71¢	74¢	+$1	win
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	No	80¢	67¢	$-5	loss

Geopolitics 50% $-41 $243 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	7¢	0¢	$-34	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	39¢	57¢	+$15	win
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	No	63¢	100¢	+$26	win
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-49	loss

Elections 43% $-89 $1,468 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	59¢	64¢	+$3	win
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	65¢	60¢	$-46	loss
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	89¢	91¢	+$19	win
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	83¢	81¢	$-4	loss
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	84¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?	No	49¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	68¢	0¢	$-42	loss

Other 25% $-459 $538 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	No	69¢	65¢	$-2	loss
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	70¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 17?	Yes	20¢	3¢	$-10	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-449	loss