Marclacasse1

Sports 100% +$64 $60 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	Yes	33¢	0¢	+$64	win

Politics 44% +$12 $273 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$2	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	73¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	17¢	8¢	$-9	loss
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	13¢	10¢	$-2	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	36¢	16¢	$-12	loss
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	67¢	69¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?	No	26¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 100% +$5 $32 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	44¢	40¢	+$5	win

Other 33% $-16 $297 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	17¢	7¢	$-10	loss
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Yes	27¢	26¢	$-0	loss
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	45¢	42¢	$-4	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	19¢	28¢	+$10	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	36¢	40¢	+$1	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	32¢	1¢	$-6	loss
Diddy guilty of all charges?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Elections 43% $-75 $950 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	49¢	55¢	+$60	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	54¢	52¢	$-2	loss
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	32¢	36¢	+$5	win
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	66¢	60¢	+$21	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	26¢	26¢	$-0	loss

Economy 0% $-106 $153 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	35¢	26¢	$-9	loss
Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	41¢	38¢	$-2	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-45	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	No	6¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Geopolitics 19% $-236 $480 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	51¢	27¢	$-22	loss
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	34¢	22¢	$-15	loss
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	76¢	50¢	$-3	loss
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$21	win