Win rate
53.3%
24 W / 21 L
Total PnL
$-500
realized $-1,178 · unrealized $679
Portfolio
$679
volume $155,187
Predictions
304
0.7/day · avg $510
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 75% +$83
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 54¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 56% $-56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Up | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Up | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Down | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | Down | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Up | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Up | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Down | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | Down | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Politics 50% $-382
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social? | Yes | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-384 | loss |
Recent Trades (45)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social? | Yes | 70.5¢ | 75¢ | +$1 | $28 | 19/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $22 | 14/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Up | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $46 | 14/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Up | 59.9¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 14/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Down | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | Down | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $55 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Up | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $45 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Up | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $30 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Down | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $36 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | Down | 69.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $21 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Down | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Up | 48.3¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | Up | 83.3¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Up | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $29 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $49 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | Down | 56.1¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Down | 72.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $35 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $43 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Up | 33.7¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $39 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | Up | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Down | 30.8¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Down | 74.3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Down | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Down | 37.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $45 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $26 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 43.8¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | Down | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $40 | 12/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | Up | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 12/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $32 | 08/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $69 | 08/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Up | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $31 | 07/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $37 | 06/01/2026 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-384 | $384 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 22.0¢ | 42¢ | +$20 | $22 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $33 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 72.0¢ | 80¢ | +$62 | $565 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 91.0¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | $95 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 96.7¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $96 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | $24 | 07/11/2028 |