Win rate
60.8%
740 W / 477 L
Total PnL
$-2,054
realized $-2,773 · unrealized $719
Portfolio
$719
volume $350,651
Predictions
1,358
19.4/day · avg $258
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 63% +$940
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Fire Flux Esports | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Team WE | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner | FUT Esports | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winner | FUT Esports | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BBL Esports | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group A | Yellow Submarine | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner | Legacy | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Anyones Legend | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Just Players vs eLITenergy - Map 1 Winner | Just Players | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Economy 100% +$355
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$312 | win |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
Weather 67% +$84
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Culture 50% +$57
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 43% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 46¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 17¢ | 16¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 33% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
Elections 86% $-48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 71¢ | 2¢ | $-217 | loss |
Sports 58% $-254
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Under | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Canucks vs. Ducks | Canucks | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Heat | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Geopolitics 39% $-1,004
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 30¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 62¢ | 16¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Lightning vs. Senators | Senators | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$11 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Crypto 65% $-1,238
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 77¢ | 88¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20? | Yes | 81¢ | 74¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | Yes | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | Up | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 1AM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Down | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | Down | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Other 62% $-2,918
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 82¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18? | No | 52¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-18? | No | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-17? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5 | Under | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 93.6¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $41 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18? | No | 52.0¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-18? | No | 81.0¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | $27 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | No | 42.7¢ | 100¢ | +$312 | $233 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-17? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5 | Under | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-17? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5 | Under | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Score | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $109 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5) | CSyD Macará | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Under | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5 | Under | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Fire Flux Esports | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $63 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 58.1¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $57 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $33 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Team WE | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $89 | 14/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | Over | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $33 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 68.6¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $89 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $77 | 13/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Ducks | Canucks | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $28 | 13/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5 | Under | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $61 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres end in a draw? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-13? | No | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $65 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $171 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Heat | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $88 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $78 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $85 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $108 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $33 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $84 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $89 | 12/04/2026 |