Serega-pro

Crypto 67% +$3,706 $32,292 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	64¢	60¢	$-754	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	82¢	80¢	$-77	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	94¢	98¢	+$41	win
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$9	win
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?	No	76¢	100¢	+$7	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?	No	79¢	100¢	+$4,482	win

Geopolitics 58% +$1,854 $193,505 vol · 97 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	73¢	82¢	+$201	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	52¢	30¢	$-23	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	42¢	0¢	$-499	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	68¢	87¢	+$54	win
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	25¢	9¢	$-60	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	76¢	94¢	+$756	win
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	20¢	20¢	$-1	loss
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	11¢	23¢	+$433	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	94¢	97¢	+$11	win
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	35¢	100¢	+$1,988	win

Esports 100% +$18 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs B8 (BO3)	FaZe	85¢	100¢	+$18	win

Mentions 100% +$5 $53 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$5	win

Finance 20% $-157 $1,430 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	55¢	54¢	$-58	loss
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	32¢	19¢	$-81	loss
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?	No	90¢	100¢	+$30	win
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	24¢	20¢	$-38	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	93¢	88¢	$-10	loss

Tech 58% $-231 $10,831 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	66¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?	No	39¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	15¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-314	loss
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech on October 14?	No	2¢	0¢	$-103	loss
Google forced to sell Chrome?	No	93¢	100¢	+$57	win
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?	No	93¢	100¢	+$162	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?	No	94¢	100¢	+$246	win

Culture 60% $-355 $1,008 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	26¢	0¢	$-341	loss
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	78¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Sports 60% $-477 $13,703 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	11¢	0¢	$-96	loss
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	74¢	100¢	+$246	win
Boxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis	Paul	48¢	50¢	+$56	win
Boxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis	Davis	60¢	50¢	$-1,432	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$120	win
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 30?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$53	win

Politics 56% $-1,867 $125,080 vol · 191 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	52¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	76¢	84¢	+$17	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	80¢	92¢	+$10	win
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	84¢	95¢	+$137	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	79¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$74	win
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	36¢	17¢	$-32	loss
Will Trump attend UFC 327?	No	23¢	0¢	$-1,950	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-157	loss
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?	No	76¢	100¢	+$259	win

Economy 43% $-3,309 $8,010 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	15¢	0¢	$-40	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-1,969	loss
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-2,624	loss
July jobs report prints negative?	No	94¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$42	win

Elections 60% $-4,990 $30,527 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	73¢	81¢	+$7	win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	82¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	No	1¢	0¢	$-410	loss
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	83¢	0¢	$-4,224	loss
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$1,630	win
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$285	win
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?	No	92¢	100¢	+$243	win

Other 45% $-17,003 $65,528 vol · 71 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	18¢	58¢	+$566	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	83¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	66¢	0¢	$-290	loss
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	51¢	65¢	+$26	win
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	77¢	93¢	+$21	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	73¢	72¢	$-127	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	29¢	28¢	+$155	win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	No	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	30¢	10¢	$-1,529	loss
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	56¢	44¢	$-348	loss