one8tyfive

Sports 63% +$155,612 $18,662,712 vol · 1564 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	4¢	5¢	+$115	win
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	75¢	86¢	+$238	win
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	20¢	2¢	$-859	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	80¢	98¢	+$1,810	win
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros	Colorado Rockies	75¢	100¢	+$309	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff	Karolina Muchova	62¢	100¢	+$21,739	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva	Iga Swiatek	60¢	78¢	+$397	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreeva	Alycia Parks	10¢	0¢	$-3,218	loss
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	58¢	0¢	$-17,230	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	7¢	0¢	$-935	loss

Finance 100% +$2,572 $3,280 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
BNP Paribas Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	56¢	100¢	+$2,572	win

Other 65% +$1,296 $9,151,163 vol · 874 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	71¢	56¢	$-3,617	loss
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1,290	win
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	70¢	0¢	+$5	win
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$1,313	win
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$16	win
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	23¢	5¢	+$56	win
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$11	win
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	76¢	100¢	+$6	win
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	82¢	76¢	$-505	loss
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$101	win

Politics 87% +$645 $355,013 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	+$19	win
Qatar Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Billy Harris	Trungelliti	49¢	0¢	$-2,481	loss
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$396	win
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$207	win
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2,533	win
Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?	Yes	90¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$967	win
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?	No	82¢	0¢	+$40	win
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?	Yes	47¢	100¢	$-1,079	loss

Culture 100% +$386 $8,016 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$386	win

Economy 100% +$254 $15,628 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Giulio Zeppieri	Berrettini	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$100	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$75	win
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$66	win

Weather 50% $-2,566 $190,505 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	39¢	100¢	+$2,314	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5	Over	50¢	100¢	+$2,119	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	Kansas Jayhawks	39¢	0¢	+$0	—
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Miami Hurricanes	57¢	100¢	$-2,495	loss
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Missouri Tigers	34¢	0¢	$-4,504	loss

Crypto 78% $-11,726 $332,190 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	38¢	0¢	$-1,696	loss
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	30¢	0¢	$-1,345	loss
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana	Francisco Comesana	77¢	100¢	+$429	win
BNP Paribas Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	50¢	0¢	$-9,611	loss
Dallas Open: Trevor Svajda vs Ethan Quinn	Quinn	63¢	100¢	+$6,305	win
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinn	Quinn	46¢	100¢	+$4,120	win
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1,537	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$400	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	74¢	61¢	$-6,918	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2,170	win

Tech 86% $-16,099 $580,618 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$190	win
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$38	win
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$206	win
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	100¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-2,376	loss

Elections 79% $-48,744 $164,954 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	98¢	98¢	+$3	win
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$6,089	win
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$4,420	win
Will Trump win no swing states?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4,216	win
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1,077	win
Will Trump win 7 swing states?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$533	win
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Trump wins every swing state?	No	81¢	0¢	$-520	loss
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-31,773	loss

Esports 55% $-57,738 $213,427 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Team Heretics	57¢	100¢	+$5,160	win
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Invictus Gaming	40¢	100¢	+$1,278	win
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Liquid	48¢	0¢	+$-0	—
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	B8	19¢	0¢	$-2,445	loss
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	MOUZ	74¢	100¢	+$1,250	win
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Karmine Corp	40¢	0¢	$-4,954	loss
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs	Team Liquid	75¢	0¢	$-4,849	loss
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Team Heretics	37¢	0¢	$-991	loss
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	59¢	0¢	$-3,628	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	59¢	100¢	+$525	win

Geopolitics 80% $-76,031 $153,918 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?	No	53¢	0¢	$-55,762	loss
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?	No	57¢	0¢	$-40,014	loss
Red Wings vs. Senators	Red Wings	41¢	100¢	+$7,167	win
Senators vs. Jets	Senators	45¢	100¢	+$5,813	win
Blues vs. Senators	Blues	40¢	100¢	+$3,718	win
Senators vs. Blues	Blues	48¢	100¢	+$2,677	win
Senators vs. Bruins	Bruins	67¢	100¢	+$36	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	97¢	100¢	+$273	win