Win rate
38.0%
46 W / 75 L
Total PnL
$-2,742
realized $-32,351 · unrealized $29,609
Portfolio
$29,609
volume $310,696
Predictions
149
9.7/day · avg $2,085
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 33% +$850
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 49¢ | 42¢ | $-22 | loss |
| OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 74¢ | 69¢ | $-39 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 35¢ | 22¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$6 | win |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 89¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 68¢ | 66¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$3 | win |
Esports 40% +$85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | EYEBALLERS | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Counter-Strike: insane players vs Team Aether (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group B | Team Aether | 27¢ | 50¢ | +$24 | win |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | TEC Esports | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2 | Insomnia | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs | Crashers | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| LoL: Team Solid vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | Team Solid | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| LoL: Barcząca Esports vs DOCISK (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season | DOCISK | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A | VP.Prodigy | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | NRG | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
Finance 67% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | No | 60¢ | 72¢ | +$18 | win |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? | No | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 46% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 7¢ | 4¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-19 | loss |
| LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | BIG | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
Tech 33% $-86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 65¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$4 | win |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | No | 43¢ | 38¢ | $-32 | loss |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$3 | win |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 74¢ | 73¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-61 | loss |
Politics 12% $-102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6¢ | 7¢ | +$19 | win |
Geopolitics 25% $-329
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-260 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 38¢ | $-60 | loss |
Elections 12% $-332
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 19¢ | 10¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Boyko Borissov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 7¢ | 4¢ | $-176 | loss |
Economy 67% $-480
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-522 | loss |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$20 | win |
Crypto 52% $-2,146
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 63¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | 58¢ | 52¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | $60 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 75¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-2,566 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | Yes | 60.6¢ | 0¢ | $-522 | $524 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | EYEBALLERS | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $37 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: insane players vs Team Aether (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group B | Team Aether | 27.0¢ | 50¢ | +$24 | $28 | 08/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 08/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 08/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 08/04/2026 |
| Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | TEC Esports | 24.8¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2 | Insomnia | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $34 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | BIG | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $38 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs | Crashers | 21.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Solid vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | Team Solid | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: Barcząca Esports vs DOCISK (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season | DOCISK | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A | VP.Prodigy | 30.5¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | NRG | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | paiN Gaming Academy | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Wildcard | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $29 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | MIBR | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $34 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $39 | 06/04/2026 |
| Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs KPI Gaming (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs | KPI Gaming | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Heretics | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION Challengers | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA Challengers | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G Global Academy | 31.4¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | SK Gaming | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | GAM Esports | 30.8¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30? | No | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $47 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $59 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 2¢ | $-31 | $98 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 7.4¢ | 4¢ | $-176 | $390 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 66¢ | +$20 | $640 | 31/01/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 61¢ | +$260 | $960 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 42¢ | +$26 | $48 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 84.0¢ | 77¢ | $-7 | $84 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Boyko Borissov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 1¢ | $-24 | $36 | 19/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 74¢ | $-20 | $2,175 | 22/04/2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89.9¢ | 92¢ | +$22 | $899 | 28/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 12¢ | +$12 | $66 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30? | Yes | 10.4¢ | 10¢ | $-6 | $68 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on April 30? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 4¢ | $-51 | $79 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30? | Yes | 10.8¢ | 6¢ | $-22 | $56 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30? | Yes | 10.9¢ | 18¢ | +$28 | $41 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 6¢ | $-8 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | No | 29.7¢ | 30¢ | $-0 | $63 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | No | 59.7¢ | 68¢ | +$374 | $2,925 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 67.5¢ | 80¢ | +$155 | $807 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21? | No | 9.6¢ | 2¢ | $-75 | $97 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in April? | No | 91.9¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | $43 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will USD.AI launch a token on April 8? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $109 | 01/05/2026 |