R18helloworld

Other 70% +$435 $10,477 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$1	win
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$10	win
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	39¢	40¢	$-1	loss
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	25¢	31¢	+$1	win
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	66¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$0	win
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$0	win
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	34¢	100¢	+$0	win
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-1	loss
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	27¢	16¢	$-2	loss

Crypto 50% +$241 $9,459 vol · 96 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	62¢	74¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-0	loss
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	54¢	56¢	$-0	loss
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	2¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 27?	Yes	53¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?	Yes	51¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?	Yes	68¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?	No	65¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7AM ET	Up	42¢	100¢	+$3	win

Culture 83% +$178 $1,478 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	Yes	63¢	72¢	+$1	win
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	23¢	23¢	$-1	loss
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	48¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	41¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	45¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)	No	95¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 44% +$134 $1,399 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	8¢	8¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	14¢	12¢	$-1	loss
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-0	loss
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	30¢	28¢	$-2	loss
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	18¢	15¢	+$10	win
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	57¢	78¢	+$1	win
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	14¢	19¢	$-1	loss
Trump out as President by March 31?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Weather 62% +$112 $3,588 vol · 63 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 19?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 19?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?	Yes	8¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 19?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on March 19?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 19?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 19?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 18?	Yes	26¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$19	win

Tech 69% +$104 $1,996 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	25¢	24¢	+$6	win
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	73¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	34¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	16¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will "Megapixel" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	89¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 23 above $215?	No	86¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 23 above $600?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$0	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 23?	Down	61¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	22¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Sports 70% +$102 $3,092 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Quinn Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-1	loss
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?	Yes	54¢	57¢	+$16	win
Flyers vs. Kings	Flyers	64¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5	Over	28¢	0¢	+$5	win
Maple Leafs vs. Devils	Maple Leafs	42¢	0¢	+$2	win
Hurricanes vs. Canucks	Hurricanes	86¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5	Under	31¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Heat vs. 76ers	76ers	78¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$8	win

Esports 90% +$49 $621 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?	No	69¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	43¢	50¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group D	Acend	64¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group D	Omega	37¢	0¢	+$1	win
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs	M80	65¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Geopolitics 50% +$41 $1,810 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	18¢	18¢	+$0	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-4	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	21¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	33¢	82¢	+$3	win
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?	No	58¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?	No	45¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Elections 78% +$33 $812 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	7¢	1¢	$-2	loss
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	71¢	76¢	+$2	win
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	31¢	52¢	+$10	win
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 72% +$27 $839 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	60¢	64¢	$-0	loss
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	11¢	12¢	+$7	win
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	82¢	63¢	+$6	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?	Down	87¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	52¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	75¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?	Down	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 23?	Down	78¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?	Down	57¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 80% +$19 $301 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	23¢	14¢	$-0	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 42% $-36 $2,914 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?	No	13¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	13¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	74¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	No	48¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in January 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-2	loss