Win rate
20.0%
19 W / 76 L
Total PnL
$-1,936
realized $-2,709 · unrealized $774
Portfolio
$774
volume $236,266
Predictions
109
2.4/day · avg $2,168
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 31% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
Economy 40% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 15% $-1,973
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Hawks | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-2,046 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bruins vs. Capitals | Capitals | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Kings | Hornets | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,689 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,826 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of March? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Hawks | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,046 | $2,046 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $755 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $2,778 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $956 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $104 | 14/03/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Capitals | Capitals | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12? | No | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $117 | 12/03/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Kings | Hornets | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $76 | 12/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Jets | Jets | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 11/03/2026 |
| Flames vs. Capitals | Capitals | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $100 | 09/03/2026 |
| Utah vs. Blue Jackets | Utah | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $69 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $89 | 08/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Hurricanes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $106 | 07/03/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Weibo Gaming | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | $67 | 05/03/2026 |
| Predators vs. Blue Jackets | Predators | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $88 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 10/02/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | Clippers | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $471 | 01/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $125 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $189 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $149 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,636 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $173 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,716 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,777 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,859 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $752 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,107 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $973 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,001 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,258 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $213 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $769 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,037 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,107 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,848 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,940 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $874 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,038 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,116 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,168 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,489 | 20/07/2026 |