gtrhty

Geopolitics 50% +$20 $108 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	42¢	30¢	$-3	loss
Senators vs. Canucks	Senators	67¢	100¢	+$23	win

Crypto 100% +$0 $369 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Economy 0% $-3 $812 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Elections 0% $-7 $7,339 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	100¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Politics 0% $-18 $17,905 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-3	loss
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-4	loss

Other 18% $-115 $11,471 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?	No	47¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?	No	56¢	0¢	$-64	loss
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	65¢	0¢	$-74	loss

Sports 11% $-886 $33,798 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	100¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Timberwolves vs. 76ers	Timberwolves	47¢	0¢	$-997	loss
Hornets vs. Kings	Kings	15¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Flames vs. Rangers	Rangers	55¢	100¢	+$53	win
Canadiens vs. Ducks	Canadiens	50¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Lakers vs. Nuggets	Lakers	36¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Penguins vs. Bruins	Bruins	53¢	100¢	+$120	win