FrankyFourFingers

Politics 61% +$6,674 $177,474 vol · 965 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	44¢	61¢	+$32	win
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2¢	3¢	+$18	win
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	34¢	24¢	$-4	loss
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	86¢	94¢	+$37	win
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	No	26¢	86¢	+$30	win
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	Trump Announce Fed	75¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	8¢	11¢	$-1	loss
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	91¢	83¢	$-12	loss
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	25¢	16¢	$-18	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	4¢	0¢	$-37	loss

Geopolitics 59% +$4,676 $89,684 vol · 406 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	16¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	32¢	32¢	$-29	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$18	win
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	75¢	86¢	+$83	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	99¢	100¢	$-161	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	85¢	92¢	$-3	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	83¢	91¢	$-14	loss
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	27¢	14¢	$-115	loss

Tech 63% +$2,102 $18,611 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	13¢	22¢	+$74	win
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	83¢	78¢	$-66	loss
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	14¢	5¢	+$18	win
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	64¢	70¢	+$9	win
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10¢	5¢	+$4	win
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	27¢	30¢	+$2	win
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	44¢	38¢	$-94	loss
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	13¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	64¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	$-14	loss

Sports 55% +$670 $32,876 vol · 164 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?	Yes	50¢	13¢	$-6	loss
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	6¢	5¢	$-3	loss
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-410	loss
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-135	loss
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$273	win
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$218	win
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	78¢	100¢	+$136	win

Economy 62% +$439 $2,550 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$19	win
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?	No	88¢	100¢	+$14	win
US recession in 2025?	No	71¢	100¢	+$55	win
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?	No	94¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Trip Balls" or "Tripping Balls" while tripping balls?	No	28¢	100¢	+$194	win
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?	Yes	16¢	100¢	+$82	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$110	win

Mentions 73% +$99 $1,890 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye tweet "$YZY" by Thursday?	No	89¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?	No	89¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Zohran Mamdani tweet 40 or more times Tuesday?	No	68¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?	No	97¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?	No	85¢	100¢	+$27	win
Kamala mentions McDonald’s again before debate?	No	65¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will Roaring Kitty tweet 100 or more times?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Roaring Kitty tweets a company ticker/name by Friday?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-40	loss
Will GCR tweet again in April?	No	86¢	100¢	+$15	win

Culture 56% $-34 $6,091 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Baldur's Gate 3 win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-197	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$99	win
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	No	78¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Drake release an album in 2025?	No	7¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Esports 50% $-178 $931 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2024?	No	100¢	100¢	$-128	loss

Weather 33% $-332 $601 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 7?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 6?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-45	loss
August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of greater than 1.29°C?	No	89¢	100¢	+$2	win

Finance 42% $-478 $19,756 vol · 178 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	No	84¢	83¢	$-19	loss
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?	Yes	22¢	12¢	$-26	loss
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	57¢	96¢	+$151	win
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	72¢	90¢	+$2	win
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	Yes	12¢	12¢	+$0	—
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	7¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	11¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	10¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Will Marex Group (MRX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	15¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Other 57% $-1,626 $199,293 vol · 1060 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	27¢	36¢	$-18	loss
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	27¢	32¢	+$18	win
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$15	win
Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	Yes	81¢	48¢	+$0	win
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	No	12¢	10¢	$-2	loss
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	14¢	9¢	+$7	win
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$39	win
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	32¢	40¢	+$19	win
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	59¢	78¢	+$15	win

Crypto 62% $-1,997 $24,448 vol · 107 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	88¢	44¢	$-39	loss
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	22¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	74¢	80¢	+$21	win
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	63¢	17¢	+$2	win
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	52¢	22¢	+$1	win
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	35¢	18¢	+$1	win
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	76¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	52¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	31¢	17¢	$-19	loss

Elections 36% $-6,545 $203,509 vol · 1030 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-37	loss
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	63¢	44¢	+$0	win
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	Yes	90¢	84¢	$-3	loss
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?	Yes	91¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?	Yes	86¢	74¢	$-5	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-2	loss
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	90¢	78¢	$-60	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	90¢	86¢	$-5	loss
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	No	90¢	88¢	+$0	—