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0xCdbc69Eb662396d5a1877B7fE5063c2Cb898F38B-1758086112268
0xcdbc69eb662396d5a1877b7fe5063c2cb898f38b · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
58.0%
2293 W / 1660 L
Total PnL
$29,569
realized $21,504 · unrealized $8,065
Portfolio
$8,065
volume $5,292,859
Predictions
8,430
44.0/day · avg $628
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 39% +$52,977
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | $-414 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-324 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $-796 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$539 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$1,900 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-5,340 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,047 | loss |
Politics 0% $-518
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Economy 0% $-672
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-550 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
Other 20% $-697
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 17¢ | 24¢ | +$662 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-1,026 | loss |
| Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Crypto 58% $-17,229
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Up | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Down | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Down | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Up | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Up | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Up | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Up | 45.5¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Up | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Down | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10,209 | $3,154 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | $189 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | +$1,900 | $1,362 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 100¢ | +$50,013 | $8,796 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-5,340 | $4,265 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Down | 73.7¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $114 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Down | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $139 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Up | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Up | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $82 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Up | 47.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $307 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $141 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 82.4¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $112 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Up | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $191 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Down | 86.4¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $147 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 55.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | Down | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $102 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | Up | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $92 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $156 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | Down | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $123 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 77.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | Up | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Up | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Down | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Up | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Down | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Up | 24.8¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Up | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Down | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Down | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Down | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Down | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Up | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $89 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-144 | $700 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,026 | $1,026 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,047 | $1,047 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Up | 26.2¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $44 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $193 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Down | 39.7¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $60 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 35.6¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $48 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Down | 27.1¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $27 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Down | 32.3¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $30 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Down | 50.7¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $62 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Down | 46.4¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $52 | 30/03/2026 |