ScottsRoad

Mentions 54% $-10 $2,599 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	78¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Prince Andrew be named in the Epstein survivors' list?	No	75¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?	No	90¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?	No	87¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?	No	82¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Elon tweet 155–169 times May 30–June 6?	No	84¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 23–30?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?	No	87¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?	No	91¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 17% $-62 $293 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?	No	76¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?	Yes	91¢	82¢	$-3	loss
Will SINNERS Esports qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	51¢	3¢	$-24	loss
Will Team Liquid win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?	No	82¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 250+ tries?	No	49¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 250+ tries?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Weather 36% $-87 $3,610 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	76¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	40¢	81¢	+$0	win
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	23¢	19¢	$-4	loss
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	91¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will the Palisades fire burn between 20-30k acres in total?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	No	83¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$1	win

Economy 30% $-130 $3,714 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	Yes	48¢	100¢	$-11	loss
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	No	70¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	No	62¢	85¢	$-0	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	No	80¢	82¢	+$1	win
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	22¢	15¢	$-10	loss
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	75¢	8¢	$-5	loss
US recession in 2025?	Yes	38¢	0¢	+$13	win
US recession in 2025?	No	59¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	69¢	100¢	+$1	win
Negative GDP growth in 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Culture 34% $-294 $12,403 vol · 169 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	85¢	82¢	$-0	loss
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	23¢	22¢	$-3	loss
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	48¢	55¢	$-15	loss
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	47¢	46¢	$-18	loss
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	85¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	No	60¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	29¢	100¢	$-13	loss

Crypto 41% $-426 $19,528 vol · 259 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	62¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Infrared launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	53¢	18¢	$-1	loss
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	70¢	80¢	$-9	loss
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	77¢	22¢	$-19	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	56¢	60¢	+$1	win
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	83¢	22¢	$-2	loss
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	83¢	98¢	$-2	loss
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	82¢	98¢	$-5	loss

Finance 26% $-596 $12,277 vol · 143 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	90¢	98¢	$-3	loss
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	47¢	52¢	$-7	loss
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	50¢	48¢	$-16	loss
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	55¢	57¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	50¢	44¢	+$0	win
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	34¢	26¢	$-2	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	50¢	56¢	$-5	loss
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	No	55¢	83¢	+$0	win
Stripe IPO before 2027?	No	88¢	88¢	$-16	loss
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	20¢	22¢	$-15	loss

Geopolitics 36% $-719 $23,907 vol · 300 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	41¢	42¢	+$0	—
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	62¢	38¢	+$9	win
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	91¢	93¢	+$2	win
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	87¢	92¢	+$1	win
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	70¢	82¢	+$0	win
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	89¢	89¢	$-1	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	38¢	16¢	+$0	win
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	33¢	45¢	$-1	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	64¢	21¢	$-1	loss
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	72¢	20¢	$-2	loss

Elections 26% $-1,251 $32,796 vol · 500 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	62¢	78¢	+$4	win
Will Trump nationalize elections?	No	76¢	78¢	+$0	win
Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	27¢	22¢	$-4	loss
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	58¢	58¢	$-1	loss
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	43¢	42¢	$-4	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	78¢	78¢	$-9	loss
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	25¢	26¢	+$6	win
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	No	24¢	28¢	$-13	loss
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	75¢	77¢	+$4	win
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	No	31¢	18¢	$-6	loss

Tech 35% $-1,337 $32,560 vol · 435 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	44¢	41¢	$-29	loss
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	57¢	59¢	$-13	loss
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	56¢	64¢	$-13	loss
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	67¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	46¢	8¢	$-8	loss
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	55¢	62¢	+$4	win
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	No	82¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	41¢	43¢	$-1	loss
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Yes	24¢	31¢	$-2	loss
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	46¢	53¢	$-2	loss

Politics 37% $-2,027 $71,279 vol · 840 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	69¢	68¢	+$6	win
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	81¢	76¢	$-5	loss
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	25¢	24¢	$-32	loss
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	50¢	58¢	$-8	loss
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	88¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	79¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	No	61¢	66¢	+$1	win
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	No	76¢	76¢	+$0	win
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	85¢	88¢	$-1	loss

Sports 28% $-2,106 $29,840 vol · 420 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	20¢	34¢	$-4	loss
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	74¢	83¢	$-21	loss
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	No	95¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	93¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	36¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	93¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	26¢	4¢	+$35	win
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	Yes	46¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	38¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	87¢	98¢	$-3	loss

Other 33% $-5,464 $106,871 vol · 1400 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	48¢	68¢	$-8	loss
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	67¢	78¢	$-0	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	65¢	62¢	$-6	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	39¢	38¢	$-3	loss
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	93¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?	No	81¢	75¢	+$3	win
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	70¢	68¢	$-21	loss
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	No	70¢	80¢	$-5	loss
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?	Yes	53¢	22¢	$-16	loss
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	80¢	100¢	+$0	—