Win rate
41.5%
49 W / 69 L
Total PnL
$-1,210
realized $-13,876 · unrealized $12,666
Portfolio
$12,666
volume $23,287,031
Predictions
178
7.5/day · avg $130,826
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 59% +$376
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 67% +$330
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-47 | loss |
Mentions 50% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Finance 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Crypto 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Weather 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
Esports 20% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Global Esports | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | EDward Gaming | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs | ex-ENCE | 52¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs | Tricked | 48¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | GIANTX | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
Economy 0% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
Other 26% $-127
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 33¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | — |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 59¢ | 64¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | +$25 | win |
| Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkin | Mikhail Kukushkin | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5 | Over | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5) | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 56¢ | 100¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% $-758
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 13¢ | 6¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-1,188 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-293 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 26% $-1,111
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-428 | loss |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Hornets | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Hurricanes | 45¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 48¢ | 100¢ | $-218 | loss |
| Spread: Islanders (-1.5) | Maple Leafs | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Global Esports | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $230 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? | No | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $41 | 18/04/2026 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5 | Over | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $53 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5) | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | $-68 | $1,290 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Karmine Corp Blue | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $1,304 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | $1,582 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $1,225 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Down | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Garrett Johns vs Daniel Dutra da Silva | Garrett Johns | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | +$130 | $27,430 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 37.7¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $16,304 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | $1,043 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $2,190 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini | Daniil Medvedev | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $79 | 15/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremska | Gabriela Ruse | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $411 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilo | Jiri Lehecka | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $560 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuel | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $520 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $6,119 | 14/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Bor Artnak vs Alan Magadan | Bor Artnak | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $660 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Hornets | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Hurricanes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | $2,515 | 14/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-218 | $5,741 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $138 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $43 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $198 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $325 | 10/04/2026 |
| Fenerbahce vs. Real Madrid | Fenerbahce | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $79 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Islanders (-1.5) | Maple Leafs | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $545 | 09/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | $10,851 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $133 | 08/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Magic | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,824 | 08/04/2026 |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | EDward Gaming | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $380 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs | ex-ENCE | 52.0¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | $260 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs | Tricked | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $240 | 08/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | GIANTX | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $436 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $470 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) | Lakers | 50.6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $737 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) | Timberwolves | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $1,336 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $180 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5 | Under | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $533 | 07/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,201 | 07/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 | Over | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $509 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5) | Michigan Wolverines | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $13,512 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $2,341 | 07/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | $-104 | $5,089 | 07/04/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Sabres | Lightning | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $31,450 | 06/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$623 | $89,571 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$69 | $279 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $180 | 31/03/2026 |