VibeTrader

Weather 62% +$157,019 $190,830 vol · 937 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?	No	1¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 60°F or higher on April 16?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 15?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-706	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on April 14?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-689	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 12?	No	1¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 12?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-325	loss
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$207	win
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 9?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$30	win

Mentions 38% +$120,914 $445,860 vol · 647 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-413	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$62	win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-473	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	No	38¢	0¢	$-1,720	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$27	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$218	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-230	loss
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-299	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	No	82¢	100¢	$-202	loss

Politics 58% +$1,536 $5,230 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	16¢	8¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?	Yes	21¢	100¢	+$536	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$773	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5 on October 17 2025?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	28¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will Trump resign today?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$8	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-47	loss

Finance 100% +$503 $254 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?	Yes	33¢	100¢	+$503	win

Other 75% +$148 $1,038 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$41	win
Anthropic CEO arrested?	Yes	4¢	2¢	+$15	win
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$7	win
1,550+ Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-71	loss
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$26	win
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Megaquake before August?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$87	win

Sports 55% $-90 $767 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$3	win
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	69¢	100¢	+$12	win
Canucks vs. Bruins	Canucks	35¢	100¢	+$200	win
Patriots vs. Ravens	Patriots	36¢	100¢	+$64	win
Flames vs. Canucks	Canucks	2¢	0¢	$-189	loss
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays	Dodgers	14¢	100¢	+$42	win
Canucks vs. Wild	Canucks	2¢	0¢	$-151	loss

Geopolitics 33% $-206 $2,073 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$20	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$150	win
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-17	loss
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?	No	26¢	0¢	$-301	loss

Culture 22% $-1,149 $1,413 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?	Yes	35¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?	No	17¢	0¢	$-494	loss
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-663	loss
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-16	loss