viix

Politics 86% +$347 $4,053 vol · 80 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	84¢	84¢	$-0	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	17¢	40¢	+$42	win
Will Leavitt say "Islamabad" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	83¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Impeach" or "Impeached" or "Impeachment" during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	77¢	60¢	$-10	loss
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during dinner with Dutch royals?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "ISIS" during Monday news conference?	No	92¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will Trump say "Eight War" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Elections 60% +$264 $2,416 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	30¢	22¢	$-8	loss
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?	No	33¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	11¢	8¢	+$10	win
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	29¢	50¢	+$16	win
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	48¢	36¢	$-2	loss
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	66¢	1¢	$-12	loss
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	94¢	+$8	win
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	78¢	94¢	+$4	win
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$17	win

Other 74% +$153 $2,248 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$5	win
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	75¢	64¢	$-10	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	90¢	99¢	+$9	win
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	No	95¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?	No	56¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	No	71¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Vance say "Hottest" during his Rocky Mount visit?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Chris Wright attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Judy Shelton attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 50% +$41 $276 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	20¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?	No	87¢	100¢	+$25	win

Culture 100% +$3 $36 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	80¢	100¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 45% $-111 $915 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	54¢	100¢	$-1	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	96¢	0¢	$-102	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	85¢	100¢	+$22	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	27¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Vance say "Israel" during his Rocky Mount visit?	No	88¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?	No	77¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?	No	41¢	0¢	$-20	loss
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$9	win