Win rate
48.0%
12 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-3,280
realized $-4,086 · unrealized $806
Portfolio
$806
volume $94,230
Predictions
26
0.0/day · avg $3,624
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$552
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$346 | win |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$206 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-79
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strike on Yemen by December 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-460 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31? | No | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$405 | win |
Economy 0% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Politics 0% $-474
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-474 | loss |
Other 47% $-3,363
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? | Yes | 18¢ | 15¢ | $-193 | loss |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | win |
| Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-1,058 | loss |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$308 | win |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$216 | win |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | $-449 | loss |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-1,216 | loss |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-539 | loss |
Recent Trades (25)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 32.3¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $2,500 | 31/01/2026 |
| Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31? | No | 68.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,058 | $2,500 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | +$308 | $100 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | Yes | 55.5¢ | 100¢ | +$216 | $1,349 | 31/12/2025 |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown? | No | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $100 | 31/12/2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | Yes | 46.4¢ | 100¢ | $-449 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by December 31? | Yes | 61.5¢ | 0¢ | $-460 | $535 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025? | Yes | 60.4¢ | 0¢ | $-474 | $500 | 31/12/2025 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,216 | $1,336 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31? | Yes | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | $-539 | $539 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | Yes | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | +$346 | $1,863 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? | Yes | 33.2¢ | 0¢ | +$206 | $300 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30? | Yes | 67.7¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $500 | 30/11/2025 |
| North Korea missile launch by November 30? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16? | No | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $600 | 16/11/2025 |
| Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15? | No | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | +$291 | $500 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | +$259 | $300 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Yes | 30.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $300 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | $300 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | Yes | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/11/2025 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31? | No | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$405 | $500 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? | Yes | 18.5¢ | 15¢ | $-193 | $999 | 31/12/2026 |