Win rate
83.9%
125 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$-96
realized $-3,180 · unrealized $3,084
Portfolio
$3,084
volume $27,498
Predictions
377
3.0/day · avg $73
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 93% +$102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9AM ET | Up | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11AM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12PM ET | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Finance 100% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11? | Down | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
Weather 90% +$48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 86% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 92¢ | 75¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Mentions 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 79% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 76¢ | 62¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Melania's remarks not air? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 7? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: 500 vs Dynamo Eclot (BO3) | 500 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Thunder | Thunder | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 33% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 33% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of March? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 84% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 48¢ | $-70 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 70¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9AM ET | Up | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $86 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 17? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $946 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $331 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $328 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $237 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 98.4¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 17? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 16? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 16? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 72.3¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $108 | 15/04/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $92 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 15? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 15? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 14? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $168 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11AM ET | Up | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $251 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 12? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 12? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 12? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $237 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $399 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 11? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on April 11? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12PM ET | Up | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 10? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 10? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 10? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Melania's remarks not air? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $53 | 09/04/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 7? | No | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $45 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31? | No | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $45 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of March? | Yes | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |