Win rate
40.0%
10 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$-18
realized $-1,633 · unrealized $1,615
Portfolio
$1,615
volume $55,464
Predictions
49
0.8/day · avg $1,132
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 33% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 33% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 20% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-13 | loss |
Recent Trades (30)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $40 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $54 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $68 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $41 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $24 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $36 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 11/12/2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $100 | 01/11/2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,601 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,649 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,616 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $30 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,554 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $45 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $60 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $40 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $233 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,333 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 1¢ | $-13 | $133 | 07/11/2028 |