0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0

Politics 76% +$635,133 $2,553,541 vol · 116 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0¢	1¢	+$1,194	win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0¢	27¢	+$31,995	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$83,742	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-112	loss
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	50¢	52¢	+$0	—
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	3¢	100¢	+$286,420	win
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Other 24% +$79,267 $241,559 vol · 87 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	No	50¢	97¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	50¢	3¢	$-37	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	5¢	100¢	+$511	win
Will the US strike Venezuela next?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$108	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	50¢	5¢	+$0	—
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	50¢	95¢	+$71,621	win
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	50¢	56¢	+$0	—
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	50¢	44¢	$-60	loss
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Elections 33% +$56,221 $362,811 vol · 79 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	50¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0¢	6¢	+$3,688	win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	50¢	42¢	+$24	win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	50¢	57¢	+$0	—
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-2,153	loss
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-561	loss
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	50¢	97¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 26% +$34,946 $134,319 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	0¢	100¢	+$63,350	win
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	50¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-1,948	loss
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-103	loss
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-104	loss

Sports 19% +$15,850 $191,406 vol · 132 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-54	loss
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	1¢	100¢	+$6,134	win
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	1¢	100¢	+$7,727	win
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Culture 32% +$1,318 $12,240 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-1,104	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$582	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-902	loss
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will 28 Years Later win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Finance 44% +$616 $2,284 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	50¢	57¢	+$0	—
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	No	50¢	94¢	+$0	—

Crypto 29% +$603 $3,943 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-270	loss
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$167	win
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	1¢	100¢	+$400	win
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Tech 50% $-112 $631 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	50¢	1¢	$-160	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	50¢	26¢	+$48	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	50¢	74¢	+$0	—

Mentions 0% $-550 $1,100 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-450	loss