Win rate
34.5%
10 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$-953
realized $-1,942 · unrealized $989
Portfolio
$989
volume $110,143
Predictions
39
0.8/day · avg $2,824
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$11 | win |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 41¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
Sports 50% $-98
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$3 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Hornets | 48¢ | 48¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | Heat | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Lakers vs. Celtics | Lakers | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Spurs | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Rockets | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | win |
| Bucks vs. Cavaliers | Bucks | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Other 25% $-779
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 85¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 30¢ | 24¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 61¢ | 56¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 80¢ | +$8 | win |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 85¢ | 81¢ | +$3 | win |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-730 | loss |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins | UCLA Bruins | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers | Clemson Tigers | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (31)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Hornets | 48.4¢ | 48¢ | $-5 | $275 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | Heat | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $118 | 14/04/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-730 | $17,024 | 28/03/2026 |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $210 | 21/03/2026 |
| UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins | UCLA Bruins | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $2,199 | 20/03/2026 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers | Clemson Tigers | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $230 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | Yes | 46.9¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | $200 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | Lakers | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $97 | 06/12/2025 |
| Lakers vs. Celtics | Lakers | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 06/12/2025 |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Spurs | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 11/11/2025 |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Rockets | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | $201 | 09/11/2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 41.1¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $164 | 31/10/2025 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) | Bucks | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $30 | 26/10/2025 |
| Bucks vs. Cavaliers | Bucks | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 26/10/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 95.5¢ | 94¢ | $-2 | $202 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 16¢ | +$5 | $28 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 11¢ | $-1 | $23 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 17¢ | +$3 | $32 | 20/07/2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 60.9¢ | 56¢ | $-9 | $113 | 01/01/2027 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 67.0¢ | 57¢ | $-15 | $312 | 01/01/2027 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 70.0¢ | 66¢ | $-8 | $308 | 01/01/2027 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 82.8¢ | 80¢ | +$8 | $211 | 01/01/2027 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 85.0¢ | 81¢ | +$3 | $439 | 01/01/2027 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $100 | 01/01/2027 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 70.5¢ | 82¢ | +$11 | $100 | 01/01/2027 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 30.0¢ | 24¢ | $-9 | $50 | 01/01/2028 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 85.0¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | $334 | 01/01/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50.0¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | $800 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | $800 | 07/11/2028 |