KickstandBot

Finance 50% +$15 $89 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	45¢	100¢	+$57	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	63¢	0¢	$-42	loss

Politics 50% +$2 $63 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	68¢	69¢	$-4	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	No	75¢	93¢	+$6	win

Mentions 0% $-5 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	82¢	82¢	$-5	loss

Culture 29% $-9 $255 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	No	75¢	97¢	+$9	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	No	83¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	No	34¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Economy 50% $-15 $229 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	11¢	8¢	$-16	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	85¢	93¢	$-4	loss
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?	No	75¢	0¢	+$1	win

Weather 50% $-18 $578 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	80¢	88¢	+$3	win
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?	No	89¢	97¢	$-10	loss
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?	No	88¢	86¢	$-12	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 17?	No	71¢	68¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 17?	No	76¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?	No	69¢	97¢	+$8	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 8?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 8?	No	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 7?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 50% $-27 $678 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	88¢	90¢	+$0	win
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	59¢	100¢	+$16	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	53¢	100¢	+$20	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	59¢	100¢	+$17	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	78¢	100¢	+$14	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	27¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	51¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Geopolitics 17% $-46 $458 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	69¢	76¢	$-2	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	63¢	28¢	$-14	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	81¢	76¢	$-4	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	56¢	54¢	$-7	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	53¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	70¢	63¢	$-2	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	69¢	44¢	$-8	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	81¢	98¢	$-2	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	77¢	92¢	$-8	loss

Other 30% $-121 $1,625 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	66¢	68¢	$-1	loss
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	65¢	64¢	+$0	—
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	88¢	92¢	$-15	loss
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	88¢	88¢	$-30	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	83¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-32	loss
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	72¢	71¢	$-0	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	44¢	64¢	$-12	loss
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	84¢	99¢	+$12	win
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	89¢	98¢	+$6	win

Elections 28% $-679 $4,131 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	76¢	71¢	$-16	loss
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	64¢	66¢	$-4	loss
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	53¢	52¢	+$10	win
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	62¢	60¢	$-1	loss
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	72¢	74¢	+$1	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	84¢	75¢	$-103	loss
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	50¢	10¢	$-7	loss
Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	82¢	82¢	$-9	loss
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	53¢	59¢	+$4	win
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	No	36¢	0¢	$-14	loss