NeoSay10

Other 88% +$8,928 $141,469 vol · 139 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$14	win
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)	Sinner	69¢	100¢	+$16	win
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	82¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "One Percent" 2+ times during NYC rally?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Ace" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Mark Rutte say "Threat" during his speech on April 9?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Mark Rutte say "France" during his speech on April 9?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$7	win

Politics 92% +$1,824 $175,237 vol · 201 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Leavitt say "President" 65+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "United States Armed Forces" in April?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Leavitt say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" during the next White House press briefing?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump name "Oz" in April?	Yes	93¢	56¢	$-176	loss
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 19)	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" this week on Truth Social?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 86% +$867 $12,915 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$102	win
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	70¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?	No	91¢	100¢	+$119	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Alexander Albon finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Netflix dip to $108.50 in November?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will RB have the third-highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	91¢	100¢	+$10	win

Geopolitics 85% +$704 $44,709 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	14¢	9¢	+$-0	—
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$47	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Mark Rutte say "NATO" 3+ times during his speech on April 9?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Mark Rutte say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during his speech on April 9?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	53¢	8¢	+$5	win
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 26, 2026?	No	84¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	$-220	loss
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 100% +$676 $2,992 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$248	win
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$428	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Esports 78% +$450 $25,973 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs	paiN	50¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will "Spike" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	MOUZ	57¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs	Team Nemesis	19¢	0¢	+$24	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	MOUZ	41¢	100¢	+$5	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	Team Falcons	38¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	G2	23¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	46¢	100¢	+$27	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	Astralis	29¢	100¢	+$18	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	70¢	100¢	+$5	win

Elections 79% +$370 $29,348 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	5¢	25¢	+$2	win
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	50¢	100¢	+$148	win
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$22	win
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	No	55¢	100¢	$-10	loss

Tech 96% +$237 $26,791 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Mark Rutte say "AI" or "Artificial intelligence" during his speech on April 9?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 3?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Agent" or "Agentic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Google say "Search Advertising" or "Search Ad" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tesla say "Chip" during earnings call?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 17 above $180?	No	99¢	100¢	+$29	win

Finance 100% +$92 $9,636 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nike say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Walmart say "Tariff" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will DraftKings say "CFTC" during earnings call?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will CAVA say "Spice" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will DraftKings say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Intel say "AIPC" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Boston Beer (SAM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Neogen (NEOG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Nurix Therapeutics (NRIX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Weather 100% +$6 $5,048 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Culture 100% +$3 $1,360 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Mentions 100% +$0 $87 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in November 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 87% $-32 $7,567 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Mark Rutte say "Lethal" or "Lethality" during his speech on April 9?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin above 65,400 on March 29, 7PM ET?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	52¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	93¢	100¢	+$90	win
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	83¢	0¢	$-102	loss
Will XRP dip to $2.40 in October?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win