Win rate
43.8%
28 W / 36 L
Total PnL
$-367
realized $-1,685 · unrealized $1,319
Portfolio
$1,319
volume $30,443
Predictions
225
5.6/day · avg $135
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 71% +$455
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 50¢ | 55¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | win |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Under | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
Geopolitics 100% +$146
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 9¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | win |
Crypto 47% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 23? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22? | Down | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Weather 50% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | 49¢ | 80¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
Politics 0% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 63¢ | 60¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 53¢ | 40¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | 33¢ | 31¢ | $-13 | loss |
Esports 0% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1 | ThunderTalk Gaming | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Sports 50% $-124
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5 | Under | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Devils vs. Predators | Devils | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Avalanche vs. Jets | Jets | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Blackhawks vs. Flyers | Flyers | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Wild vs. Panthers | Panthers | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Blue Jackets | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | loss |
Elections 33% $-610
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 35¢ | 40¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 71¢ | 64¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 56¢ | 66¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 67¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 20¢ | 1¢ | $-148 | loss |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$71 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 27.5¢ | 100¢ | +$303 | $118 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 67.0¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | $68 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $120 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win at least 90 seats? | No | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win at least 110 seats? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 70.6¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 20.0¢ | 1¢ | $-148 | $153 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | Yes | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $58 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 73.7¢ | 99¢ | +$71 | $207 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | Yes | 55.6¢ | 99¢ | +$156 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5 | Under | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $21 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5 | Under | 49.8¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $79 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $71 | 08/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 08/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Under | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $71 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $40 | 01/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1 | ThunderTalk Gaming | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $95 | 29/03/2026 |
| Devils vs. Predators | Devils | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $77 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | No | 59.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $35 | 27/03/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets | Jets | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 27/03/2026 |
| Blackhawks vs. Flyers | Flyers | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $79 | 26/03/2026 |
| Wild vs. Panthers | Panthers | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 26/03/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Blue Jackets | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $78 | 26/03/2026 |
| Devils vs. Stars | Devils | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $49 | 25/03/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $48 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | No | 13.0¢ | 10¢ | $-5 | $50 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | No | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Green Left win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | No | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 2¢ | $-61 | $60 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 23? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $20 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 22? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22? | Down | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $29 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22? | No | 63.9¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21? | No | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Up | 29.1¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $23 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | No | 42.0¢ | 41¢ | $-2 | $80 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 40¢ | $-5 | $80 | 03/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $32 | 24/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $25 | 24/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Down | 44.5¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 24/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 24/02/2026 |