Win rate
76.5%
13 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$540
realized $-3,930 · unrealized $4,470
Portfolio
$4,470
volume $77,028
Predictions
15
0.8/day · avg $5,135
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$773
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$300 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$206 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$266 | win |
Geopolitics 69% $-233
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$110 | win |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 72¢ | $-572 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$132 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
Recent Trades (17)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $649 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $1,860 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 81.2¢ | 98¢ | +$300 | $1,363 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$206 | $790 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 98.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $2,205 | 07/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$266 | $7,468 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$210 | $2,610 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $1,430 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $1,468 | 31/03/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $1,205 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $2,450 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | $-190 | $1,389 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96.0¢ | 99¢ | +$132 | $8,305 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 94.1¢ | 72¢ | $-572 | $5,646 | 30/04/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $1,200 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $646 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 89.0¢ | 92¢ | +$110 | $1,958 | 30/06/2026 |