Win rate
36.4%
4 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$-49
realized $-670 · unrealized $621
Portfolio
$621
volume $1,395
Predictions
35
1.0/day · avg $40
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 33% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 40% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Elections 0% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Recent Trades (11)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $21 | 15/08/2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 18/05/2025 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 94.5¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $50 | 31/05/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 91.4¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52.0¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | $80 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96.2¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/12/2026 |