Win rate
54.8%
855 W / 704 L
Total PnL
$2,844
realized $-42,957 · unrealized $45,801
Portfolio
$45,801
volume $8,399,496
Predictions
2,392
11.2/day · avg $3,511
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 62% +$173,369
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 10¢ | 3¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 53¢ | 78¢ | +$541 | win |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-299 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-582 | loss |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $-197 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-490 | loss |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Colorado Rockies | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$250 | win |
Other 49% +$117,348
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 18¢ | 100¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-519 | loss |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 24¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 30¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | No | 8¢ | 3¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-263 | loss |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | No | 37¢ | 72¢ | +$556 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-626 | loss |
Politics 32% +$13,380
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $-199 | loss |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$630 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 13¢ | 8¢ | +$308 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-257 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,646 | loss |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-2,789 | loss |
Elections 41% +$8,242
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $-154 | loss |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 60¢ | 82¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 44¢ | +$4,134 | win |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 13¢ | 1¢ | $-851 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 73¢ | 90¢ | $-264 | loss |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-1,281 | loss |
Culture 36% +$1,957
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$2,020 | win |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-816 | loss |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | win |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-2,882 | loss |
| Will SZA release a new song in 2025? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | $-203 | loss |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-453 | loss |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-2,365 | loss |
Esports 67% $-343
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Tundra Esports | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$181 | win |
| Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5 | Over | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$426 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) | Hanwha Life Esports | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-950 | loss |
Weather 33% $-2,297
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-548 | loss |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Miami Hurricanes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-399 | loss |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Miami Hurricanes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5) | Virginia Tech Hokies | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$426 | win |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm | Connecticut Huskies | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| California Golden Bears vs. Miami Hurricanes | California Golden Bears | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$595 | win |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanes | Stanford Cardinal | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Tech 12% $-2,308
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | $-257 | loss |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-3,739 | loss |
| Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-1,447 | loss |
| Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-912 | loss |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-1,969 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$6,177 | win |
Finance 14% $-3,201
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 3¢ | $-159 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | loss |
| Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-562 | loss |
| Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-2,004 | loss |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 36¢ | 2¢ | $-699 | loss |
Geopolitics 41% $-10,144
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | win |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 14¢ | $-115 | loss |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-312 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-4,290 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 67¢ | 68¢ | $-354 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 8¢ | $-646 | loss |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $-46 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-1,530 | loss |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-439 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | loss |
Crypto 7% $-10,802
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-1,161 | loss |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,734 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Yes | 16¢ | 2¢ | $-878 | loss |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-418 | loss |
| Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-460 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-1,337 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-616 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 15? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-1,670 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 14? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-1,719 | loss |
Economy 25% $-11,609
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%? | Yes | 38¢ | 6¢ | $-559 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$622 | win |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-326 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-1,584 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-4,035 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$313 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,592 | $1,499 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 31.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,469 | $1,500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Yes | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | $-439 | $450 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 27.0¢ | 100¢ | +$946 | $350 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Flames | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 100¢ | +$421 | $79 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,087 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | $330 | 15/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $81 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 34.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2,103 | $1,095 | 14/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$600 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 23.3¢ | 100¢ | +$414 | $126 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$266 | $300 | 14/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $-298 | $306 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 26.6¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $250 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $-289 | $450 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 10.8¢ | 0¢ | $-272 | $272 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor | Tallon Griekspoor | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $-344 | $353 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | $350 | 13/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Jazz | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $150 | 13/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | $-587 | $600 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 22.4¢ | 0¢ | $-391 | $400 | 13/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-244 | $250 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Dominick Reyes | 56.1¢ | 100¢ | +$234 | $300 | 12/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 | Over | 53.3¢ | 100¢ | +$219 | $250 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) | Cub Swanson | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | MarQuel Mederos | 40.0¢ | 50¢ | +$25 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $1,529 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 30.7¢ | 0¢ | $-235 | $332 | 12/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-391 | $400 | 12/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45.2¢ | 100¢ | +$607 | $500 | 11/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Kings | 19.0¢ | 100¢ | +$426 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$398 | $300 | 11/04/2026 |
| Senators vs. Islanders | Islanders | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees | Miami Marlins | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | $250 | 11/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Atlanta Braves | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $-440 | $450 | 11/04/2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 37.4¢ | 100¢ | +$890 | $531 | 10/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Baltimore Orioles | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-590 | $604 | 10/04/2026 |
| New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants | New York Mets | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | $-831 | $850 | 10/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | Oilers | 38.7¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | $150 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jessica Pegula | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | $65 | 09/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Colorado Rockies | 15.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,983 | $350 | 08/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 16.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,760 | $350 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | +$475 | $150 | 08/04/2026 |